Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan State Spartans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44850e60c8c387e6dcf90a4523809b19531a83f1e79c558143333e5cac306fa0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duke Blue Devilsof Duke Blue Devils, Michigan State Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.99 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 6,297$3,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.54 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Michigan State Spartans | 45c | 6,274$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840.44 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Duke Blue Devils | 69c | 6,033$4,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Duke Blue Devils | 57c | 6,024$3,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.01 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Duke Blue Devils | 56c | 3,279$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.25 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Duke Blue Devils | 57c | 3,016$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.69 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Duke Blue Devils | 53c | 2,815$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.98 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Michigan State Spartans | 42c | 2,326$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.65 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 1,641$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.25 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Michigan State Spartans | 9c | 1,498$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.43 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Duke Blue Devils | 56c | 1,378$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.05 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Michigan State Spartans | 43c | 1,327$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.76 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Duke Blue Devils | 55c | 1,119$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.52 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 43c | 1,103$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.12 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 991.08$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 989.15$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.79 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Michigan State Spartans | 44c | 951.53$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Duke Blue Devils | 63c | 831.94$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.41 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Duke Blue Devils | 55c | 635.17$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.86 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Michigan State Spartans | 45c | 622.75$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.2 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…8e56backed Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 595.2$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.65 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 568.39$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Michigan State Spartans | 40c | 567.46$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.49 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Michigan State Spartans | 45c | 556.44$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.55 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 44c | 524.65$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.74 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Michigan State Spartans | 43c | 505$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.55 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 500.43$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.63 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Michigan State Spartans | 46c | 480$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Michigan State Spartans | 42c | 440.22$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.31 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 407.04$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.45 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf83f…6fdebacked Duke Blue Devils | 55c | 362.09$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Duke Blue Devils | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -14.7wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9413…0fe4backed Duke Blue Devils | 56c | 285.93$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Michigan State Spartans | 43c | 280$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.37 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 44c | 254.77$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.91 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 228.85$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.85 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…a758backed Michigan State Spartans | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Duke Blue Devils | 54c | 212.96$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Michigan State Spartans | 45c | 212$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 204$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 201.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Michigan State Spartans | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…15d7backed Michigan State Spartans | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 174$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 170$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 165.42$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.71 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60f0…1a38backed Michigan State Spartans | 44c | 161$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 151$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Michigan State Spartans | 43c | 139$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.55 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Michigan State Spartans | 47c | 133.58$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…9131backed Michigan State Spartans | 44c | 127.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ca…0557backed Duke Blue Devils | 48c | 125.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4f…ceaabacked Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 124.81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…0075backed Duke Blue Devils | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Michigan State Spartans | 47c | 110.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 66c | 110.26$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 108.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 102.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Michigan State Spartans | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Michigan State Spartans | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Michigan State Spartans | 42c | 90.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Michigan State Spartans | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Duke Blue Devils | 59c | 81.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa272…b431backed Michigan State Spartans | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Michigan State Spartans | 27c | 77.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Michigan State Spartans | 52c | 76.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Duke Blue Devils | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Michigan State Spartans | 59c | 62.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522b…6ab1backed Duke Blue Devils | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Michigan State Spartans | 42c | 59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Michigan State Spartans | 44c | 52.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…6ea7backed Duke Blue Devils | 68c | 52.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Michigan State Spartans | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Michigan State Spartans | 32c | 47.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff5…5e4dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 44c | 45.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Duke Blue Devils | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e4…ece5backed Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 39.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…9ad6backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michigan State Spartans | 59c | 38.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6e…2cd6backed Duke Blue Devils | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…b9f6backed Duke Blue Devils | 55c | 36.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c76…8b35backed Duke Blue Devils | 66c | 35.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfc…10f7backed Duke Blue Devils | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Michigan State Spartans | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda23…5bc4backed Michigan State Spartans | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf34…caf1backed Michigan State Spartans | 44c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…786cbacked Duke Blue Devils | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Duke Blue Devils | 55c | 24.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Duke Blue Devils | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Michigan State Spartans | 47c | 21.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Duke Blue Devils | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan State Spartansthis page
- Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 141.5Under won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-1.5)Duke Blue Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.