TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdb7f…d5bd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
219
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Serie A, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST3953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$40.02
Will Doncaster Rovers FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+220.5%+$34.4
Will Chesterfield FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Chesterfield FC vs. Doncaster Rovers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+55.4%+$21.4
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Leeds United vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$17.52
Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)backed Leeds United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+34.5%+$24.64
Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+247.2%+$42.72
Leeds United vs. Liverpool: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$27.28
Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+94.2%+$23.28
Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+31.6%+$14.4
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+82%+$54.05
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+107.7%+$119.25
Will Manchester United vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11.55
Manchester United vs. West Ham: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+105.8%+$18.57
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+63.4%+$56.02
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+133.6%+$31.45
Will Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+39.2%+$6.21
Leeds United vs. Chelsea: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$36.55
Arsenal vs. Brentford: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$18.76
Will Newcastle vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$21.68
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+86.1%+$15.92
Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$46.18
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+30.6%+$6.26
Will Everton win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+146.4%+$41.3
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST3231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-44.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Netsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14.64
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$16.77
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$51.65
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$19.37
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+33.8%+$13.25
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+32.7%+$5.07
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30.8
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.35
Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.68
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$19.71
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$148.16
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+63.6%+$32.49
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+33.7%+$7.11
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+85.1%+$98.38
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$48.09
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+261.8%+$156.38
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$48.42
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$26.98
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$95.32
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$23.75
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+70.5%+$62.66
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$28.68
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13.67
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.25
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST2055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Famalicão vs. SC Braga end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+69.5%+$19.68
Will Heracles Almelo win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$24.6
Will Heracles Almelo vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+88%+$18.72
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Will AVS Futebol win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+31.6%+$9.6
Will AVS Futebol vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$22
Heracles Almelo vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+31.6%+$12
Heracles Almelo vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$28.7
Heracles Almelo vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$16.56
Will Fortuna Sittard vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+316.7%+$34.96
Will Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$42.34
Will Brøndby IF win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21.95
Will FC Fredericia win on 2025-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15.58
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+29.7%+$23.02
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+113.1%+$33.33
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+317.8%+$39.03
Will Samsunspor win on 2025-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+145.2%+$24.28
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+71.4%+$14.98
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baylor Bears vs. Memphis Tigersbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$21.12
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Kansas State Wildcatsbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+79.9%+$17.76
Princeton Tigers vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblersbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+108.3%+$15.6
Louisville Cardinals vs. Indiana Hoosiersbacked Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$24.4
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Northwestern Wildcatsbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$19.3
Boise State Broncos vs. Butler Bulldogsbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+204.9%+$33.6
Dayton Flyers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+39.8%+$9.13
Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$75.92
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$36.4
New Haven Chargers vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+57%+$26.13
Rhode Island Rams vs. Providence Friarsbacked Rhode Island Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$26.4
USC Trojans vs. Oregon Ducksbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+61.1%+$7.88
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Kansas State Wildcatsbacked Bowling Green Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+54.6%+$14.52
UAB Blazers vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersbacked UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$17.55
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. North Texas Mean Greenbacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+46.4%+$6.17
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Florida Atlantic Owlsbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+83.4%+$12.35
La Salle Explorers vs. Merrimack College Warriorsbacked La Salle Explorers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$19.6
Richmond Spiders vs. Furman Paladinsbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+54.4%+$11.27
All 18 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1675%12 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+41.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+91.1%+$33.68
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+37%+$15.25
Hellas Verona FC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+185.7%+$32.5
Hellas Verona FC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+257.1%+$28.8
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)backed Atalanta BC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14.79
Hellas Verona FC vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12.8
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+25%+$14.4
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+203%+$48.24
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+36.6%+$12.86
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+53.4%+$20.88
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)backed US Cremonese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.7%+$8.41
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$121.01
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+30.7%+$7.05
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$24.76
Will Genoa CFC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+65.1%+$8.68
Genoa CFC vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+47.6%+$5.89
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$21.4
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$228.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$47
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$71.95
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$81.5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$50.5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$37.53
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$20.45
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$39.67
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$21.2
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+87.9%+$44.91
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Imperial - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+25.7%+$14.45
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$29.4
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Imperial - Map 1 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+50.5%+$42.96
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$43.33
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$32.19
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Falcons (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+53.5%+$43.27
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+70.4%+$26.82
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs fnatic (BO1)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20.95
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$6.53
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+63.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40.86
Will Hamburger SV vs. Werder Bremen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.89
Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+45.5%+$10.95
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+347.6%+$37.48
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$19.3
Will Hamburger SV vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+93.4%+$16.91
Will Bayern München vs. FC St. Pauli end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+139.6%+$69.34
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+121.2%+$213.87
Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Heidenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+122.2%+$45.96
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)backed Racing Club de Lens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11.82
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+44.9%+$12.4
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+88.1%+$28.1
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$19.3
Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$23.68
Will FC Nantes vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+85.9%+$27.72
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+156.4%+$35.55
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+133.5%+$14.29
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-62.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-53.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-11-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.78
Will BK Häcken win on 2025-11-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.85
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.