Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal vs. Brentford: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4e372ccd9f9ec6518b881e4135c4c50c121b070fa1b2a964310dae23780f9cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 6,703$3,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.03 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 47c | 4,217$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 45c | 2,637$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.72 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 47c | 1,706$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.95 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 51c | 1,066$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 52c | 1,014$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.15 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c1…692cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,013$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed No | 50c | 1,004$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.95 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 52c | 933.3$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.98 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b66…55b8backed No | 60c | 862.55$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 30c | 650$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked No | 52c | 500.56$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.56 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 44c | 443.71$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.23 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 51c | 433.54$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.17 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 54c | 346.98$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.41 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yes | 54c | 300$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…49d8backed Yes | 48c | 217.66$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.54 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 42c | 215.79$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…fb3abacked Yes | 45c | 199.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd358…0a62backed No | 55c | 180.18$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Yes | 47c | 169.01$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 48c | 164$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 46c | 156.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…e650backed No | 55c | 136.16$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b2…bbdbbacked Yes | 48c | 127$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 31c | 108$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 51c | 107.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 54c | 103.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…1852backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…f640backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…0cc9backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e18…7bb9backed No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 56c | 83.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1819…16debacked No | 55c | 79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…05a1backed No | 56c | 78.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4341…6451backed No | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…d660backed Yes | 47c | 69.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 49c | 67.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 31c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…016dbacked Yes | 47c | 65.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…5a5ebacked Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x356d…0eccbacked Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7c…31fdbacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Yes | 44c | 58.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed No | 53c | 56.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…0acebacked No | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef4…a780backed Yes | 47c | 53.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 51c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 55c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…276abacked Yes | 45c | 50.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a9…b9e9backed Yes | 46c | 46.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ef…dc51backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6b…1c91backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 47c | 41.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Yes | 46c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Yes | 48c | 37.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d35…7f29backed No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a0…9b88backed Yes | 49c | 30.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 46c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c7…848fbacked Yes | 48c | 27.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9428…63d5backed Yes | 45c | 26.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 46c | 24.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed No | 73c | 20.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal vs. Brentford: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Arsenal vs. Brentford: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal vs. Brentford: O/U 2.5Under won
- Arsenal vs. Brentford: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)Arsenal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.