Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2bef1a869d480e550d2bec5a20b31f18e85c8be73cea6f736a4f2699776d2a2

Rebuilt 40 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Arsenalof Arsenal, Brentford
Resolved: Dec 3, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $104,391
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $109,639

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,391 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Brentford	59c	24,562$14,539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,538.61	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Arsenal	38c	17,864$6,816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,048.7	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Arsenal	45c	12,368$5,587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,781.18	106	36.8%39 W · 67 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Brentford	60c	10,000$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-3.0wins	-0.37per pick	50cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Brentford	60c	8,298$4,983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,983.13	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8511…ed83backed Arsenal	49c	7,678$3,772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,905.48	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-10.6wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Brentford	51c	5,724$2,913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,913.27	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Arsenal	44c	4,761$2,104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,656.51	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe232…042dbacked Arsenal	44c	2,739$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,539.1	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.56per pick	44cpaid	+128.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Brentford	54c	2,109$1,137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,137.22	109	62.4%68 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23ed…f088backed Arsenal	42c	2,000$840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,160	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f3…f6bebacked Brentford	58c	2,000$1,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,160	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Arsenal	43c	1,800$774 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,025.99	170	42.9%73 W · 97 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Brentford	55c	1,659$917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$917.45	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f05…4480backed Arsenal	43c	1,333$573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$759.56	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Arsenal	54c	1,166$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$536.36	111	62.2%69 W · 42 L	+10.1wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Arsenal	43c	1,163$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$662.79	71	45.1%32 W · 39 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Brentford	43c	990$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.55	202	39.6%80 W · 122 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9925…e33ebacked Arsenal	52c	968.19$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.73	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x55f4…a7fdbacked Brentford	57c	896.49$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc850…616fbacked Brentford	57c	824.56$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+57.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Arsenal	43c	801.79$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.79	92	42.4%39 W · 53 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Brentford	55c	770.08$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.33	370	36.2%134 W · 236 L	-18.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Arsenal	43c	765.61$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435.61	82	43.9%36 W · 46 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Brentford	60c	511.92$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.44	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Arsenal	41c	487.8$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.8	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Arsenal	35c	460.01$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.23	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed Brentford	56c	459.09$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.78	126	46.8%59 W · 67 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Brentford	59c	408.61$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.63	218	53.2%116 W · 102 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Brentford	59c	400$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-4.3wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4085…583fbacked Brentford	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.7wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+38.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Arsenal	41c	369.99$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.29	401	50.1%201 W · 200 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Arsenal	40c	318.54$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.85	234	35.9%84 W · 150 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Brentford	58c	300$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Arsenal	40c	295.08$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.05	378	40.5%153 W · 225 L	-15.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdb9…1418backed Arsenal	41c	278.51$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.32	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	+22%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Arsenal	39c	266.24$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.41	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf35…7e61backed Arsenal	40c	250$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Arsenal	43c	247.93$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.32	127	53.5%68 W · 59 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Arsenal	40c	247.5$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.5	105	33.3%35 W · 70 L	-8.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51b8…1df6backed Arsenal	47c	244.1$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.1	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.5wins	+0.21per pick	50cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Brentford	60c	243.57$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.78	139	41%57 W · 82 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Arsenal	41c	242.04$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.49	95	32.6%31 W · 64 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01db…16e3backed Arsenal	42c	236.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.82	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae8…5794backed Arsenal	43c	232.56$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.56	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed Arsenal	43c	232.56$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.56	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	-5.8wins	-0.10per pick	59cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Arsenal	41c	202.44$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.44	89	27%24 W · 65 L	-11.9wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Brentford	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Arsenal	43c	200$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114	161	60.9%98 W · 63 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Arsenal	44c	200$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112	105	45.7%48 W · 57 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01a7…cdebbacked Arsenal	44c	197.3$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.49	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.56per pick	44cpaid	+127.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Brentford	61c	163.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	86	62.8%54 W · 32 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa393…29f7backed Brentford	58c	159.38$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.51	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Arsenal	58c	159.19$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.73	86	46.5%40 W · 46 L	+7.7wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Arsenal	41c	150$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.5	186	46.8%87 W · 99 L	+11.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Arsenal	24c	146.28$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.5	577	44.4%256 W · 321 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Arsenal	40c	144$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.72	457	51.2%234 W · 223 L	+21.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Brentford	57c	136.05$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.55	257	52.1%134 W · 123 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4db9…ec0abacked Brentford	39c	122$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.58	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Arsenal	43c	116.28$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.28	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e2…31e4backed Arsenal	43c	116.28$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.28	18	50%9 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b34…6296backed Arsenal	43c	116.28$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.28	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dbe…b1b1backed Arsenal	43c	116.28$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.28	122	50%61 W · 61 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Arsenal	46c	108.7$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.7	94	36.2%34 W · 60 L	-7.4wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d33…e208backed Arsenal	41c	104.88$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.88	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Brentford	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	219	65.3%143 W · 76 L	+20.8wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+19%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x52dd…ed91backed Arsenal	40c	100$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Arsenal	41c	100$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	68	54.4%37 W · 31 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7543…1852backed Arsenal	43c	100$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	39cpaid	+80.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e0…7934backed Arsenal	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb226…e227backed Arsenal	43c	100$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…17ebbacked Arsenal	41c	100$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Brentford	53c	94.3$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	116	28.4%33 W · 83 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked Arsenal	43c	93.02$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.02	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Arsenal	49c	91$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.41	815	59%481 W · 334 L	+32.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb376…f6a0backed Arsenal	45c	88.89$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.89	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.24per pick	42cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1fc6…bfb4backed Arsenal	43c	86.05$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.05	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	47cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Arsenal	49c	76$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.76	379	58%220 W · 159 L	+24.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Arsenal	36c	72.7$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.7	132	49.2%65 W · 67 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Arsenal	43c	69.77$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.77	86	53.5%46 W · 40 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcde2…67afbacked Brentford	60c	68.33$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	61cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Arsenal	41c	67.54$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.85	353	47.6%168 W · 185 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc65…49d8backed Arsenal	39c	66.92$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.88	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe88…5856backed Arsenal	43c	65.12$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.12	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.57per pick	43cpaid	+132.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Brentford	46c	61.11$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.11	350	56.9%199 W · 151 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Arsenal	49c	61$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.11	561	58.6%329 W · 232 L	+29.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Arsenal	41c	60.98$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.98	327	37.6%123 W · 204 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Brentford	66c	60.61$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	69	55.1%38 W · 31 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc2…2a8ebacked Arsenal	41c	60.32$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.59	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5485…231cbacked Arsenal	59c	59.68$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.68	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb6…9decbacked Brentford	51c	58.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2623…e65abacked Arsenal	43c	58.14$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.14	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Arsenal	54c	55.56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.56	291	46%134 W · 157 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7d…eedcbacked Arsenal	60c	54.53$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.81	82	42.7%35 W · 47 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Brentford	57c	53.46$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.69	259	49.4%128 W · 131 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x824d…1271backed Arsenal	39c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.5	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1fb…3373backed Arsenal	43c	50$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.5	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed Brentford	58c	49.9$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.94	105	39%41 W · 64 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a87…121fbacked Arsenal	41c	48.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.78	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81fa…c4d6backed Arsenal	41c	48.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.78	85	42.4%36 W · 49 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)this page
Arsenal vs. Brentford: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Arsenal vs. Brentford: O/U 1.5Over won
Arsenal vs. Brentford: O/U 2.5Under won
Arsenal vs. Brentford: O/U 3.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event