TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f05…4480

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,315Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,315
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+72.5%+$306.61
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+58.5%+$392.19
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+62.6%+$318.27
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 115.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$940
Mavericks vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+78.4%+$417.18
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+45.3%+$155.24
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,165Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+56.3%+$655.06
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$462
Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+85.2%+$436.15
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$879.89
Rockets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+56.3%+$316.76
Mavericks vs. Hornetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$2,344.62
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$800
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+45.5%+$318.33
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$919Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$918.9
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,556Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$837.66
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$731.6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$570.48
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+61.3%+$164.91
Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$239.39
Manchester United vs. West Ham: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+63.9%+$511.48
Liverpool vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$450
Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)backed Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+132.6%+$759.56
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$952Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+32.7%+$310.98
Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,053Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+40.8%+$430.25
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,013Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+51.5%+$521.85
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$695Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$695.37
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+44.9%+$225.06
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Paula Badosa vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$833Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$833
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+47.1%+$376.47
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+25%+$225
Alcaraz vs. Hanfmann: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+33.4%+$400.45
Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$426
Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Linda Noskovabacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$425.93
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Andrey Rublev vs Yibing Wubacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+139%+$529.06
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+50%+$257.96
Brisbane International: Marie Bouzkova vs Paula Badosabacked Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$516.84
Brisbane International: Karolina Muchova vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$205.62
Brisbane International: Marketa Vondrousova vs Magdalena Frechbacked Vondrousova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$76.03
ASB Classic, Qualification: Sinja Kraus vs Kristina Mladenovicbacked Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$41.04
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.47per pick67cpaid-71.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Panthersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$742Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$742
Sabres vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+43.1%+$215.73
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$569.09
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,163
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$1,200
All 5 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+81.8%+$18
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$500
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+50.8%+$271.56
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+49.3%+$344.68
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Army (-9.5)backed Connecticut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$355
Penn State vs. Clemsonbacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$265.15
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$433
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Brute vs HyperSpirit (BO3)backed HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$773Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$315.16
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$135
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bengals (-6.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$183.33
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+28%+$260.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,379Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+67.9%+$936.33
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$317
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Slovakia win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,153Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$869.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+69.5%+$138.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+52.7%+$303.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+28.2%+$282.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide United FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$383
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$804.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.