NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35bb3733a0e3278d1ed83ad60d6ae9c18da3a4c81a2c635fc68a83fb8140969d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $418,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $449,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $418,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Hawks | 73c | 23,445$17,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,223.16 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks | 39c | 21,058$8,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,817.36 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Celtics | 76c | 20,795$15,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,763.87 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Hawks | 26c | 19,554$5,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,519.31 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Celtics | 65c | 8,349$5,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,439.22 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Celtics | 47c | 6,889$3,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,218.44 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks | 20c | 6,641$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,308.14 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Hawks | 23c | 6,178$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,787.14 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Celtics | 79c | 6,083$4,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,805.31 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Hawks | 22c | 6,000$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,689.94 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Hawks | 35c | 5,252$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410.84 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Celtics | 68c | 5,102$3,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,446.29 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Hawks | 21c | 4,761$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,761.1 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks | 26c | 4,623$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,401.82 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Celtics | 78c | 4,550$3,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,548.98 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Hawks | 29c | 4,500$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210.15 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Hawks | 22c | 4,229$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,291.35 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Hawks | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Celtics | 78c | 3,956$3,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085.68 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Celtics | 75c | 3,500$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619.99 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Celtics | 65c | 3,085$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Hawks | 21c | 3,081$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.31 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Hawks | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.99 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Hawks | 18c | 2,171$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.65 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Celtics | 71c | 2,031$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.72 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hawks | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Hawks | 19c | 1,969$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.72 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f05…4480backed Celtics | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8885…21a0backed Hawks | 23c | 1,594$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +342.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe4…1996backed Celtics | 6c | 1,593$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad3f…857ebacked Celtics | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49cc…9385backed Hawks | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Hawks | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc8…3900backed Hawks | 28c | 1,491$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.21 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Celtics | 80c | 1,389$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.3 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Hawks | 19c | 1,300$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.99 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Hawks | 20c | 1,260$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.57 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Hawks | 48c | 1,251$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.54 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Hawks | 29c | 1,241$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.97 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Hawks | 26c | 1,232$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.4 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Hawks | 22c | 1,208$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.51 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Hawks | 14c | 1,146$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.25 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Celtics | 10c | 1,140$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.36 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hawks | 39c | 1,114$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.62 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Celtics | 78c | 1,109$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.13 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Celtics | 4c | 1,095$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Celtics | 76c | 1,054$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.07 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Hawks | 50c | 1,032$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.91 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Celtics | 78c | 1,031$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.69 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hawks | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Hawks | 8c | 1,000$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…9f1dbacked Hawks | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Celtics | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Celtics | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9cf8backed Celtics | 21c | 992.14$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.35 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Hawks | 55c | 992.01$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.39 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…28f4backed Celtics | 59c | 900$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.5 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Hawks | 22c | 866.84$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.75 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Celtics | 58c | 853.81$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.16 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks | 32c | 834.5$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.84 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabba…577abacked Celtics | 79c | 822.38$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Hawks | 22c | 819.53$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.23 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…7094backed Celtics | 70c | 800$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ea…4684backed Celtics | 78c | 800$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Celtics | 80c | 784.99$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.29 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…d10abacked Celtics | 79c | 777.89$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…e512backed Hawks | 63c | 747.6$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.45 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Celtics | 79c | 723.97$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.93 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Hawks | 23c | 660.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.92 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187c…ca3cbacked Hawks | 23c | 659.61$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Hawks | 11c | 650$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.6 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…42a8backed Hawks | 15c | 643.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Hawks | 76c | 635.12$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.88 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Celtics | 53c | 619.82$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.5 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hawks | 19c | 597$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.57 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…8058backed Hawks | 4c | 590.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.09 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Hawks | 22c | 550$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917c…2010backed Hawks | 64c | 548.84$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Celtics | 79c | 510$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.54 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Celtics | 71c | 502.7$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.8 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…cfc7backed Celtics | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Hawks | 21c | 499.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.99 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Hawks | 32c | 492.26$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.25 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Celtics | 63c | 478.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Hawks | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Celtics | 79c | 454.14$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.77 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Hawks | 19c | 439.97$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.57 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Hawks | 20c | 438.1$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.1 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7f…8995backed Hawks | 34c | 423.46$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.26 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdadc…15fcbacked Celtics | 57c | 420$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.4 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Celtics | 5c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…4e2abacked Celtics | 75c | 389.47$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.05 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Celtics | 79c | 355$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.68 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Celtics | 71c | 350$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.5 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Hawks | 18c | 334.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.01 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf2…6432backed Celtics | 61c | 300$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc90f…07d2backed Celtics | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4d…4f5cbacked Hawks | 45c | 292.61$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.53 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Hawks | 39c | 288.12$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.62 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Celtics | 72c | 279.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.