TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe947…2cf3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,125
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Champions League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 60 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT84957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 849 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+35%+$6.99
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$35.79
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$253.45
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$108.89
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 849 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10154.5%55 W · 46 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.46
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+53.8%+$11.22
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+32.2%+$19.35
Bournemouth vs. Chelsea: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Newcastle vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Tottenham vs. Brentford: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Will Everton win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
West Ham vs. Liverpool: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$18.82
Everton vs. Newcastle: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Manchester City vs. Leeds United: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT7876.9%60 W · 18 L+9.4wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+23%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$10.46
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$57.68
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.92
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+38.9%+$19.44
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+331.2%+$99.37
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+64.3%+$12.87
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
AFC Ajax vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L-6.0wins-0.21per pick65cpaid-22.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Egypt to score first vs. Belgium?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Belgium to score first vs. Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$23.93
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Will Kazakhstan win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Brazil win on 2025-10-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Will Slovakia win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+34.4%+$17.18
Will Sweden win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Denmark win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$27.8
Will Czechia win on 2025-10-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Girona win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+37%+$110.96
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25.1%+$50.16
Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Barcelona vs. Alaves: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+44.2%+$26.54
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+80.2%+$32.08
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$85.71
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$121.67
All 22 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$35.44
Will Aston Villa reach the UEFA Europa League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$49.79
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+47.2%+$9.44
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$41.63
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$63.16
Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Will AS Roma beat Tottenham?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST+25%+$25
Will Lazio beat Ludogorets?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bayern München win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Bayern München (-2.5)backed Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bayern München vs. FC St. Pauli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+31.6%+$12.63
Bayern München vs. FC St. Pauli: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Union Berlin win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+34.6%+$13.84
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lynx vs Stormbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.