Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City vs. Leeds United: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7b4a8a1b220071dcf6bfe4f63c802a8415cc8de26744ca75c3aa5c8ecce8dd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 30c | 1,635$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.11 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Over | 66c | 1,514$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.38 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 34c | 1,406$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.11 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 32c | 1,126$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.27 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d1…0c60backed Over | 68c | 967.9$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 34c | 800$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 66c | 747.99$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.39 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 67c | 644.64$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.64 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 68c | 596$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.72 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 34c | 443.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.95 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 437.15$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.94 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over | 65c | 362.14$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 32c | 299.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 66c | 181.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 34c | 153.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…0501backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 68c | 125$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23d0…a38abacked Over | 68c | 109$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 35c | 95.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a0…20dabacked Over | 65c | 94.34$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Over | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…1b3abacked Over | 79c | 83.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 38c | 72.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd9…17b1backed Over | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…1ef0backed Over | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 37c | 55.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Over | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 34c | 53.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83f4…d10cbacked Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…e12fbacked Over | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…7025backed Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 64c | 43.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fb…8e0bbacked Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 36c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5414…a4f1backed Over | 64c | 35.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f3…172ebacked Under | 38c | 33.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb5…9846backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…74ebbacked Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…b283backed Over | 68c | 29.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bed…eb5cbacked Under | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 58c | 23.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4540…4fb5backed Over | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb967…3bfdbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Over | 63c | 18.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Over | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…46d1backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City vs. Leeds United: O/U 2.5this page
- Manchester City vs. Leeds United: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester City vs. Leeds United: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City vs. Leeds United: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)Leeds United won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.