TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfd22…7025

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
222
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Premier League at 50 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT6756.7%38 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$74
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$28.71
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$64.63
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$125.08
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$19.29
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+244.8%+$31.24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$11.55
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40.25
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$52
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$84
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
FC København vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100%+$25
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+130%+$156.04
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT5858.6%34 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$35.86
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.96
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$41.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$9.05
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+61.3%+$10.84
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$13.05
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.21
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.97
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+61.3%+$20.9
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+117.4%+$13.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$24.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$51.11
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT4953.1%26 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$27.83
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+102.8%+$13.84
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$73
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$18.67
FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.82
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+37%+$19.44
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$19.51
FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$41.21
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$47.14
Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$21
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$70.42
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Real Betis vs. Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$30.63
Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+47.1%+$96.12
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25%+$13.08
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$64.3
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+73.9%+$18.48
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10
SC Freiburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$36
Spread: Bayern München (-2.5)backed Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Bayern München vs. FC St. Pauli: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$15.27
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+40.9%+$42.02
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bayern München win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
All 15 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+37%+$14.85
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$76
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Will Inter win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+40.8%+$29
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will AC Milan win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+79.6%+$70.81
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-46%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.89
AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$8.69
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$78.53
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+37%+$9.56
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$37.09
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.77
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lyon win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Panathinaikos win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swiss Indoors Basel: Marcos Giron vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.