Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Lyon win on 2025-10-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a65d6d3a472606b167bfa8544faba42a29616afb086884b883127955d3564ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 7,704$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.29 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 59c | 4,358$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.42 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 66c | 4,000$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 63c | 3,949$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.05 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed Yes | 58c | 3,134$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +93%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 38c | 3,003$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.06 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.97 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 38c | 2,843$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.35 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 59c | 2,716$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.75 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 42c | 2,521$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.69 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed No | 42c | 2,394$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 2c | 2,338$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…3c12backed Yes | 62c | 2,098$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 58c | 1,841$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.12 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 43c | 1,837$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.91 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed No | 41c | 1,686$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.26 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Yes | 60c | 1,654$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7df…f73bbacked Yes | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 31c | 1,425$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.17 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 37c | 1,086$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.21 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed No | 31c | 1,073$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 75c | 1,068$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.55 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 76c | 1,023$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.78 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 42c | 1,000$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed Yes | 78c | 900$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +175.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 39c | 867.79$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.24 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…f4c1backed Yes | 59c | 795$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…6a3ebacked Yes | 59c | 787.03$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.89 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 758.57$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.76 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 63c | 670.97$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.26 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 2c | 604.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…51f4backed Yes | 58c | 582.12$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 39c | 554.97$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.44 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 78c | 516.94$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 42c | 509.05$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…252ebacked Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.86 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x175c…7a1abacked No | 39c | 499.97$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Yes | 59c | 494.78$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.86 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f44…1c79backed No | 41c | 487.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdc…e35fbacked Yes | 62c | 487.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 39c | 477.21$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.11 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 61c | 448.28$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.83 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…0379backed Yes | 62c | 444$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 41c | 423.04$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.69 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 38c | 422.13$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.15 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 25c | 393.59$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 37c | 383$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b3…fd19backed Yes | 62c | 370.79$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Yes | 62c | 334$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…550dbacked Yes | 61c | 325.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 62c | 323.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.21 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Yes | 59c | 301.69$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 103 | 32%33 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 61c | 262.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 58c | 235.09$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.74 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 77c | 225.87$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 59c | 203.45$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.45 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 59c | 200.49$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f2…5bb5backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Yes | 61c | 198.36$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…a3dbbacked Yes | 58c | 164.62$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0964…e842backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b3…53b9backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 58c | 162.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…1733backed Yes | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d64…1e9dbacked Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…c4bebacked Yes | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90fc…064fbacked Yes | 60c | 123.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Yes | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…4f25backed Yes | 59c | 114.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 61c | 114$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…6b0abacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…a111backed Yes | 61c | 99.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lyon win on 2025-10-02?this page
- Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2025-10-02?No won
- Will Lyon vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.