TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5f24…c911

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
191
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT5240.4%21 W · 31 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,708Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+134.2%+$2,292.35
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,668Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,667.73
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+241.7%+$1,414.6
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$937Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$937.43
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$789Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+153.5%+$1,211.19
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+328.2%+$484.05
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+125.2%+$719.25
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$410
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+232.2%+$1,398
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+201.9%+$232.8
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$457.49
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$847Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+47.5%+$402.5
Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$136.24
Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,636Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,635.96
Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,285.62
Over $20M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+30.6%+$33.25
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,274Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+221.6%+$2,823.22
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$2,306.44
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$812Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$812.2
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$996Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+99.7%+$992.65
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,045Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+46.7%+$954.62
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$764
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$39.9
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+150.2%+$893.85
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12,920Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4,080
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+116.3%+$661.65
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$924Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+63.9%+$590.84
Galatasaray SK vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,263Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$2,262.87
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+122.2%+$122.22
AFC Ajax vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$156
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$27.58
All 19 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$590
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.85
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+526.3%+$854.64
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$538.87
Will Göztepe SK vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$90.95
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$769Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$768.76
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$372.75
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,968Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+350%+$6,888.98
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$594
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$336
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+127.3%+$427.64
Will Göztepe SK win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$103.92
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$326
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$463
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$285
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,169
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+584.9%+$1,707.98
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$752Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$322.43
Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$480
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$703Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+91.4%+$642.25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$640
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+59.6%+$560
Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$925Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$925
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$439.94
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+72.4%+$109.96
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$92.7
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+34.7%+$34.72
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FUT (-2.5) vs Astralis (+2.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$970
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$390
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,060
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$540.29
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,543Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,543.09
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+340.1%+$2,393.4
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,039.35
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$872Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$871.51
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Sashi Esport (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,354Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$608.47
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,902Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$1,101
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$630
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$166
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+151.7%+$815.26
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+30.5%+$129.3
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+43.6%+$435.57
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$256.85
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$258.69
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$270.5
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+362.6%+$783.97
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$38.2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$840
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,311Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+81.6%+$1,069.7
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$700
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$299
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$113
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+129%+$129.02
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Lyon win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$77.36
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Betis win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Will Panathinaikos win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$415
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+495.2%+$4,160
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$565
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$895Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$895
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,771Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,770.7
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,073Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+94.9%+$1,017.92
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.99
Colombia vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$564.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-55.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+688.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google reach $335 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Google reach $330 in Nov 25-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP dip to $1.70 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,443.98
Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,466Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,465.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$6,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$3,400
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$177
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahce vs. Panathinaikosbacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$79.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.