TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$191,303
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$199,647

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,303 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes70c38,626$26,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,939.6912269.7%85 W · 37 L+14.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No30c32,920$9,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,998.264843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes73c22,501$16,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,505.662268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed No27c20,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,6002955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No27c19,771$5,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,432.83444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes64c15,128$9,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,691.778755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes43c15,123$6,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,442.723839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Yes73c14,887$10,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,829.514746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No29c12,988$3,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,258.3213327.8%37 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No73c7,057$5,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,874.863100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+85.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes73c5,603$4,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,090.477851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8d…8189backed No32c4,380$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,978.26540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3389…62d9backed Yes71c3,069$2,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,169.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed No28c3,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,160156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick25cpaid-76.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed No31c3,000$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.985763.2%36 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No56c2,889$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.124557.6%141 W · 104 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No26c2,500$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8501233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes70c2,261$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.6615151%77 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No28c2,177$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.0620050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c2,085$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.992,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No55c1,930$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.683,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes60c1,666$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.11346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76a2…0bd2backed No32c1,623$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.64425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No27c1,500$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09520132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No46c1,300$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.3533055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No45c1,046$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.7812247.5%58 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e62…ec52backed Yes73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No27c999.99$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.9916242.6%69 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e67…91b0backed Yes32c999.88$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes54c973.67$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.784337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed No33c857.95$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc405…8b56backed Yes19c770.65$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Yes68c735.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+34.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4b8…a992backed Yes68c700$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47640%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70f9…e036backed No32c700$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4761100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3c2…4074backed No28c660.71$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.71837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Yes47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No30c620.98$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.8915846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04f2…6fe4backed Yes67c597$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick68cpaid-61.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No32c555$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.46949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes34c523.86$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.046923.2%16 W · 53 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd65a…2eebbacked No32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3401100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Yes70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f4…a528backed Yes45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+52.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes73c468.56$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.051361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes67c447.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002737%10 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked No27c444.44$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.443444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Yes68c441.18$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked No32c440.97$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.33259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No28c413.21$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.51728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No28c370.6$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.139652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No27c370$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.110539%41 W · 64 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes11c333$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.638129.6%24 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No27c300$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21910332%33 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.054837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked No28c300$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2162650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x202d…c3b1backed Yes69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No27c266.67$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.676753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc48d…8a40backed Yes70c246.53$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.271369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed No45c241.94$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.945459.3%32 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked No78c240$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.292369.6%16 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No35c236.34$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.623138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes68c221.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504454.5%24 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…bbcbbacked Yes44c209$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1464447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x671f…af9cbacked Yes74c195.21$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.69650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No32c194.14$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.014959.2%29 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+40.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd316…bca3backed Yes33c182.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed No27c148.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.152934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes68c147.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020655.3%114 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f24…c911backed Yes68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f5…aceebacked Yes68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013552.6%71 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9259…52dcbacked Yes70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e0…105dbacked Yes73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes74c136.23$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.812540%10 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a54…e581backed Yes74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd724…b805backed No46c128.82$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.561266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+35.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes38c125.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.120042%84 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes68c110.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753060%18 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes68c110.29$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425135.3%18 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked No27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0032…bbb1backed Yes70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303016.7%5 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-70.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4f2…5bb5backed No57c99.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No62c99.08$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.651656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0619…fe26backed No55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.91757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Yes68c88.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9b3…2beabacked No34c88.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.24771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+43.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Yes66c88.24$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.24850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No68c81.25$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x53e8…bf07backed Yes75c80.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511536.5%42 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8915…1b98backed Yes67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-67.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60e3…08a6backed Yes72c73.61$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf270…6015backed No28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.43757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+44.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed No28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.438453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.