TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-10-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,911
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,382

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,911 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked No33c9,100$3,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,045.4433055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes11c6,990$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,203.7813327.8%37 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No48c6,521$3,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,110.0715376.5%117 W · 36 L+37.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No76c6,500$4,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,944.977851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes57c5,638$3,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,434.268755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No32c5,473$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.382,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes67c5,174$3,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.311764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+20.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6504351.2%22 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+50%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes11c4,499$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,004.114427.3%12 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes11c4,050$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,604.526022.3%58 W · 202 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes12c3,452$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,053.17128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes34c3,336$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.924557.6%141 W · 104 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x817f…45cdbacked Yes11c2,049$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+335.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes12c1,875$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6504235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes11c1,818$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.185232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb5a…f4c1backed Yes13c1,140$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.78933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes12c994.11$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.8120449.5%101 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…bbcbbacked Yes66c990$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes13c968.31$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.8115151%77 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd724…b805backed No33c920.87$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.211266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+35.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes11c909.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.098030%24 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No52c751.02$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.3620042%84 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Yes11c582.81$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.71822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-4.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc589…b7afbacked Yes14c560.07$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes13c539$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.938743.7%38 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes11c500$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4451656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+73.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes10c499.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9916242.6%69 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1bb…3dd7backed Yes69c437.81$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes13c409.54$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.319736%71 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Yes39c393.28$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes13c384.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.6214733.3%49 W · 98 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad46…65a7backed Yes56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.141172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes13c349.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.492740.7%11 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5ab…341bbacked Yes62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.584100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x28a2…9af0backed Yes14c314.29$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+280.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes13c309$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.8336136%130 W · 231 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Yes12c300$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2643259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fce…28f8backed Yes34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+59.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes12c299.98$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.984959.2%29 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+40.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd00…4fc0backed Yes61c291.41$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.415100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed Yes16c258.07$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.783138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes21c247.82$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.825459.3%32 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf661…d170backed Yes13c236.78$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+127.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes51c219.41$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.414100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+93.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f7a…d7ccbacked Yes13c215.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+370.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9597…ed86backed Yes12c205.45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+756.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes63c191.38$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.385962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes39c187.03$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.243748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Yes14c178.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.577521.3%16 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes27c177.78$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.781241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked No65c161.83$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.942347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5db3…e657backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…5fefbacked No64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x969b…7f79backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110539%41 W · 64 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…bda6backed Yes14c142.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.86333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+138.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes14c142.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.862842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec75…2e8fbacked No36c141.5$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.94850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f0…6a90backed No50c134$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6740%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No43c130.17$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.683265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No73c117.78$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9812247.5%58 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba28…8d2cbacked Yes41c114.8$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+202.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506446.9%30 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes13c99.71$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.496513.8%9 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-50.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed Yes33c82.69$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.072572%18 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea07…d8b7backed Yes68c80.88$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.88757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+37.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020655.3%114 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes13c77$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9937926.1%99 W · 280 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes34c72.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.571656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+32.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked No35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-76.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe05e…1ab8backed No69c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe25…ce67backed Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6af…18ddbacked Yes39c38.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+89.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cba…c616backed Yes56c33.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.581172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes35c32.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9710761.7%66 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1974…cf6cbacked Yes38c31.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+124.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a61…2accbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.251266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+50.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x43c3…d618backed No76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No61c25.64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.645337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed No44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeb9b…1e2abacked Yes67c22.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c43…b289backed Yes65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b91…eec9backed Yes66c18.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.