TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x969b…7f79

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NFL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT2181%17 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick72cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$20.19
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+67%+$10.33
Yankees vs. Oriolesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$35.24
Athletics vs. Marinersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+41.1%+$56.43
Padres vs. Giantsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Nationals vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Yankees vs. Angelsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$21.29
Phillies vs. Athleticsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
Dodgers vs. Metsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+25.2%+$20.47
Yankees vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$17.92
Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgersbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+37%+$18.49
Mariners vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Astros vs. Raysbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.16
Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$9
Royals vs. Giantsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Cardinals vs. Royalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+29.5%+$5.9
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Cubs vs. Metsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+48%+$64.75
All 21 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafał Trzaskowski or Karol Nawrocki win Łódzkie?backed Nawrocki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+30.7%+$127.4
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$596.07
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$851Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+59%+$502.03
Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Will Hong Joon-pyo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+52.9%+$52.89
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+43%+$430.53
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,251Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+42.4%+$530.22
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,781Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+28%+$498.61
Will Loren Taylor win the Oakland mayoral race?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+123.9%+$123.91
Will Barbara Lee win the Oakland mayoral race?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$701Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+41.3%+$289.88
Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$485
Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$81.81
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$243.01
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT8100%8 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$8.43
Patriots vs. Saintsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+25.5%+$25.52
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+55.2%+$71.82
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Buccaneers vs. Seahawksbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$113.58
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$40.67
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$21.01
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2025, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick72cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick69cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$63.09
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21.27
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon State vs. Appalachian Statebacked Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Stanford vs. Hawaiibacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$51.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+37.1%+$42.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lazio vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Muhammad vs. Della Maddalenabacked Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$155.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.