Fifa International · resolved market
Will Denmark win on 2025-10-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe21887af62c2297c869cbf3d3a5e1ede151e599d91d58f80bde8bc86e88613ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 1c | 38,150$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.47 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 19,294$6,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,521.65 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes | 59c | 17,761$10,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,220.83 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 1c | 15,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 41c | 13,000$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,279.96 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked No | 41c | 9,014$3,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,704.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 39c | 8,957$3,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,492.62 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 41c | 8,608$3,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550.82 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 41c | 8,137$3,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,339.3 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 13c | 7,608$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.32 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 1c | 6,324$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 61c | 5,627$3,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.72 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 41c | 5,157$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.5 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 1c | 5,153$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed Yes | 60c | 4,058$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f6…ce43backed Yes | 58c | 3,440$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Yes | 58c | 3,237$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 28c | 3,100$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.9 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 2,599$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 51c | 2,136$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.41 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 41c | 2,061$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.73 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 55c | 2,000$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 1,912$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.75 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 40c | 1,884$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.76 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 38c | 1,807$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.3 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…12b4backed Yes | 55c | 1,774$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 60c | 1,765$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.46 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c3…eccfbacked No | 42c | 1,750$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 61c | 1,706$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.63 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34f7…f12bbacked Yes | 58c | 1,700$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Yes | 60c | 1,258$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.57 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 59c | 1,230$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.23 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Yes | 62c | 1,210$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.68 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Yes | 60c | 1,169$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 49c | 1,151$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.01 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes | 59c | 1,144$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.72 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 60c | 1,043$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417 | 81 | 63%51 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 73c | 912.37$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.34 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 46c | 803.25$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.75 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 61c | 737.7$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.7 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 58c | 693.25$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.29 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 59c | 691.66$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.58 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed No | 40c | 673.3$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.32 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 60c | 656.67$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.67 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 42c | 609.15$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.75 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed Yes | 62c | 568.5$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.03 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 40c | 561.11$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.44 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02be…d803backed Yes | 58c | 515.38$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x421d…320abacked No | 41c | 509.76$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca3…cb95backed Yes | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…8e7dbacked Yes | 58c | 484.4$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 60c | 425$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…373ebacked Yes | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes | 61c | 395.9$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.9 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 52c | 350$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.5 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x379c…797cbacked Yes | 59c | 340.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 59c | 339.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.83 | 131 | 59.5%78 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd00…e43ebacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e53…56dfbacked Yes | 60c | 338.5$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 40c | 333.79$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.51 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 59c | 330.13$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.66 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Yes | 61c | 327.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.86 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…7d3cbacked Yes | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 60c | 283.06$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.06 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 65c | 237.7$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.7 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 60c | 226.7$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.68 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Yes | 60c | 217.77$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Yes | 48c | 209.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…1cb2backed No | 41c | 194.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed Yes | 58c | 189.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Yes | 61c | 186.1$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.58 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 66c | 184.2$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 61c | 171.39$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7630backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992e…245fbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf697…a0dbbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68c…779dbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 60c | 165.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.39 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Denmark win on 2025-10-12?this page
- Will Denmark vs. Greece end in a draw?No won
- Will Greece win on 2025-10-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.