TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe68c…779d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
209
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 60 out of 100; worst Weather at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6650%33 W · 33 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49%+$14.71
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.7
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+142.4%+$71.21
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+97%+$38.82
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$12.65
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+192%+$47.99
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+97%+$19.41
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+90.3%+$18.06
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$45.24
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT4843.8%21 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.1
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.14
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.14
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.7
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.76
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+312.9%+$101.12
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.21
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.83
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$52.54
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.28
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.41
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+648%+$169.86
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C or higher on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$65.6
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.51
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+73%+$92.07
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.58
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$59.08
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$45.24
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$48.96
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$25.28
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C or higher on March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$11.24
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$70.37
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT3354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.21
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$28.97
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$20.61
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+31.6%+$12.63
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$46.92
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+45.5%+$47.33
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+58%+$87.05
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+64.9%+$38.92
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$50.91
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$165
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2676.9%20 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$600
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+104.1%+$31.22
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+49.3%+$14.78
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$36.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25.4%+$13.09
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+109%+$108.97
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+43.4%+$75.95
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+70.5%+$81.08
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$10.63
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+37%+$14.79
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+25%+$5
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Spread: Bayern München (-2.5)backed Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Bayern München (-1.5)backed Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Bayern München (-2.5)backed Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bayern München win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on April 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$9.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.