Champions League · resolved market
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4319c11106830dd89e91d957404a0830d90ce67a433880189eaf5f918762f46d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Bayern Münchenof FC Bayern München, Atalanta BC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $470,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $470,931 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Atalanta BC | 67c | 199,999$133,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133,299.01 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked FC Bayern München | 34c | 83,777$28,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,318.74 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 63,654$21,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,781.4 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 46,218$15,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,503.69 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Atalanta BC | 66c | 40,573$26,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,775.83 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked FC Bayern München | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,050 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Atalanta BC | 65c | 10,836$7,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,012.92 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 8,681$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,708.95 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Atalanta BC | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.95 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 5,259$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,470.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed FC Bayern München | 33c | 4,545$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.15 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked FC Bayern München | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…c561backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 3,529$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.41 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.18 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +6.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed FC Bayern München | 35c | 2,799$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.37 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Atalanta BC | 67c | 2,567$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.89 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Atalanta BC | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 1,863$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.88 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed FC Bayern München | 35c | 1,523$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.09 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked FC Bayern München | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.98 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked FC Bayern München | 33c | 1,352$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.92 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Atalanta BC | 12c | 1,248$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.22 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Atalanta BC | 63c | 1,242$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.98 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Bayern München | 65c | 1,096$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.54 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d37…15abbacked FC Bayern München | 59c | 1,093$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked FC Bayern München | 35c | 990.64$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.08 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked FC Bayern München | 34c | 888.82$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.62 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…7ff7backed FC Bayern München | 36c | 822.22$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked FC Bayern München | 58c | 776.08$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.08 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Atalanta BC | 42c | 775.57$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.74 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked FC Bayern München | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Atalanta BC | 60c | 597.21$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.52 | 182 | 50.5%92 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed FC Bayern München | 39c | 520$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.2 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed FC Bayern München | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +11.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Atalanta BC | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 464.94$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.92 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc260…68dfbacked FC Bayern München | 33c | 443.33$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Atalanta BC | 64c | 406.37$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0d…45bfbacked FC Bayern München | 37c | 335.36$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Atalanta BC | 63c | 316.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.7 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed FC Bayern München | 33c | 314.15$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.44 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Atalanta BC | 64c | 312.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…213abacked FC Bayern München | 40c | 306.78$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked FC Bayern München | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed FC Bayern München | 33c | 301.18$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked FC Bayern München | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Atalanta BC | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked FC Bayern München | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed FC Bayern München | 35c | 286.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.11 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed FC Bayern München | 35c | 286.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.05 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed FC Bayern München | 35c | 285.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.85 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed FC Bayern München | 39c | 281$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.12 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed FC Bayern München | 35c | 279.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.54 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked FC Bayern München | 33c | 272.37$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.41 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed FC Bayern München | 37c | 270.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.35 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed FC Bayern München | 37c | 270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 250$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Atalanta BC | 66c | 249.37$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.07 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed FC Bayern München | 38c | 248.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.38 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed FC Bayern München | 35c | 236.19$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.08 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 230$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Atalanta BC | 61c | 229.36$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.91 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked FC Bayern München | 37c | 216.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.21 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed FC Bayern München | 39c | 196.49$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.86 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…013fbacked FC Bayern München | 41c | 196.39$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.45 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 180$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 180$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed FC Bayern München | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…8401backed FC Bayern München | 35c | 154.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +188.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…dea1backed FC Bayern München | 36c | 151$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec46…072dbacked FC Bayern München | 35c | 150$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.58 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed FC Bayern München | 59c | 140.65$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed FC Bayern München | 36c | 139.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.05 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked FC Bayern München | 33c | 137.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.12 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked FC Bayern München | 35c | 137$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.16 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…8aebbacked FC Bayern München | 35c | 131$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Atalanta BC | 63c | 130.24$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.56 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed FC Bayern München | 55c | 129.71$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 214 | 60.7%130 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 125.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked FC Bayern München | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked FC Bayern München | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked FC Bayern München | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked FC Bayern München | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked FC Bayern München | 35c | 115.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.13 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed FC Bayern München | 36c | 110$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Atalanta BC | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked FC Bayern München | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 22cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…4dc5backed FC Bayern München | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked FC Bayern München | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)this page
- Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.