TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,888

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,888 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Over68c15,012$10,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,806.95466.7%36 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under32c10,201$3,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,297.0926047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c4,661$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.961,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under32c4,588$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4686657.6%38 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under33c3,999$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.6813548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over66c3,050$2,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.089757.7%56 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4027…1afbbacked Under33c3,031$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.01425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under32c2,995$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.5128543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under16c2,764$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.051,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Over68c2,601$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.363256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under33c2,597$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.4859741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under1c2,263$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0120643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Under1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over67c1,956$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.3129350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc444…2851backed Over67c1,718$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.157245.8%33 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Under1c1,142$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.422378.3%18 W · 5 L+7.1wins+0.31per pick48cpaid+127.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over66c999.99$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3401936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under34c972.34$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.634342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under34c935.23$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.5258248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over66c805$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.713245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over68c800$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2564766%31 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under33c599.24$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7846048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over67c597.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.017065.7%46 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under33c560.45$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1515038.7%58 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under16c552.12$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5639743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under33c510.85$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.4426645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under36c504.31$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.939748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0338…04b7backed Over65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.183764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12814645.2%66 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over67c382.05$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.135335.8%19 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under33c369.67$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9938253.9%206 W · 176 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over68c367.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6510256.9%58 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c85…1b78backed Under34c359.1$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.09450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over66c303.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.06955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.032857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+24.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Under34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022540%10 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-36.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3bf…762dbacked Over67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9610760.7%65 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.125364.2%34 W · 19 L+8.6wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe949…77e2backed Over68c250$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick61cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under34c249.35$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5940350.9%205 W · 198 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over67c220$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.624766%31 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde73…93efbacked Over68c218.63$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.96366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e49…fb01backed Over68c213.24$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Under34c205.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.882835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under17c205.23$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.895438.9%21 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6410237.3%38 W · 64 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0525659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727639.5%30 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x088c…65c6backed Over63c198.41$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.411258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x490a…b16cbacked Over68c188.74$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over67c160.59$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.691668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef2e…10c3backed Under19c159.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.371861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+85.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over68c159.54$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.056065%39 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Over68c152.21$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.711560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4810049%49 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2383…e639backed Over67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.55358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5119856.6%112 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over67c147.76$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.764042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over68c147.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-57.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.065870.7%41 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a4a…044ebacked Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+49.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over63c147$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.471963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over68c145.59$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.592955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39a5…5abfbacked Over68c132.35$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.351050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc6d4…08d0backed Over68c130$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.61275%9 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under35c125$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7516753.3%89 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under35c124.13$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.835437%20 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over67c120.9$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.93625%9 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over63c119.05$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.055100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Over63c116.1$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.964654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe49a…5222backed Under34c115$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf96d…0b59backed Over63c107.79$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-47%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd10e…18dfbacked Over66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521354%115 W · 98 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf064…54a4backed Over67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe23…e72bbacked Under34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.242218.2%4 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-42.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under33c99.96$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.594427.3%12 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under34c97.17$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2217045.9%78 W · 92 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under35c90$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.513552.6%71 W · 64 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked Over67c89.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5510647.2%50 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ef4…3405backed Over65c82.14$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.772665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under33c79.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.160748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Over66c75.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.879058.9%53 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x252f…4f62backed Over67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.635843.1%25 W · 33 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.63862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9f…b100backed Over67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.631844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Over68c73.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.647064.3%45 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89ff…8af2backed Over68c71.53$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0b…2803backed Over68c68.94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27de…9b6abacked Over66c68.45$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.272040%8 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under33c67.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1650247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb323…cc19backed Over68c66.18$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea4b…dedebacked Over68c63.97$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.471861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over63c61$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.575459.3%32 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+36.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over65c61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.263946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111449.1%56 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe851…9471backed Over67c59.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.721681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick58cpaid+44.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.