TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,006

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,006 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x160b…4296backed Under74c2,693$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.0826645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c2,662$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.521,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c2,570$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.331,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4af4…f9e0backed Under68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Under28c1,600$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.984942.9%21 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+73.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over38c1,483$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.9521460.7%130 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over27c1,104$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.853625%9 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.343713.5%5 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over27c999$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.277133.8%24 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under78c842.2$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66022054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under78c837.08$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6502475%18 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over73c636$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.724766%31 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under38c624$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.31060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Under38c612.5$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.75650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under38c611.99$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.564447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over71c604.02$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.552748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over27c559.28$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.985335.8%19 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Under36c550.55$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.654555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2109653.1%51 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over54c485.7$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.718368.7%57 W · 26 L+13.8wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+33.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c472.83$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.1746048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.6713234.1%45 W · 87 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.085123.5%12 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over59c387.88$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.033040%12 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over27c378$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.129350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x740d…9967backed Under79c316.46$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over32c311.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.991984.2%16 W · 3 L+6.6wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+79.1%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1208650%43 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb903…9942backed Under72c297.65$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2151361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf715…bbf0backed Over24c284$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.841741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over62c273.71$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.157861.5%48 W · 30 L+10.5wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under75c265.79$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.1226047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf6…f951backed Under38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1842…b628backed Under72c238.4$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.471040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under37c236.97$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6860136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Over62c206.4$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.665438.9%21 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over32c204.54$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.092378.3%18 W · 5 L+7.1wins+0.31per pick48cpaid+127.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over44c203.76$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7811653.4%62 W · 54 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over73c203.06$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8315936.5%58 W · 101 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15015236.8%56 W · 96 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d8d…674fbacked Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3127…ff44backed Under58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under28c193.46$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6223637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x140d…a937backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over71c182.11$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1112269.7%85 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+24.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.252748.1%13 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.22per pick26cpaid+105.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over64c156$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5612556%70 W · 55 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Under65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003450%17 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Over63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+172.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef5c…26f2backed Over69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.43548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under74c142.56$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0858248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under36c140$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.46536.9%24 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over38c136.39$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.14555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ac1…3afebacked Over74c134.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.381650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Under75c133.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under75c131.79$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995437%20 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Under76c117.11$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89825%2 W · 6 L-3.3wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-66.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under61c111.35$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.066959.4%41 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.118339.8%33 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5669…e058backed Under74c110$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over66c105.72$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7213261.4%81 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid+70.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Over26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743417.6%6 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-41.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36e1…2ee8backed Over26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Under25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Over25c90.97$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.312272.7%16 W · 6 L+7.7wins+0.35per pick38cpaid+106.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Under37c82.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.631963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+29.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over48c80.37$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9817848.9%87 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.372875%21 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.377561.3%46 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f33…0d47backed Over24c76.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.691994.7%18 W · 1 L+7.9wins+0.42per pick53cpaid+99.5%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Over63c75.4$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.96648.5%32 W · 34 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1985…8cbdbacked Under68c73.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under19c73.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6525735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b5f…5e78backed Over24c69.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.19933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Over27c68.68$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.144630.4%14 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over63c62.05$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.963839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8168…97e2backed Under35c57.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over25c50.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1640350.9%205 W · 198 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198862.5%55 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x261c…d49dbacked Under75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Over62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+90%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7718…4c1bbacked Over23c49.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.491346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23ea…1c3fbacked Over63c47.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.611258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e6…a6edbacked Under68c44.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.131266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Under71c42.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Over61c40.83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.882634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Under65c40.72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.473145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57dc…01ffbacked Over61c40.66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.861973.7%14 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf72a…5d8ebacked Under75c40.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef20…2646backed Over26c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under51c38.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0415038.7%58 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d5e…b7e4backed Under57c34.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.952152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc78…6513backed Over62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under41c31.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.032556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x252f…4f62backed Over65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.775843.1%25 W · 33 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa51b…d6f0backed Over66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b8…6253backed Over36c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac8d…67e1backed Over75c27.95$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.