Champions League · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba768ee91c102e85ce1689d01ab10c29d1f3b75c508b94640588b69169ab7e6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,006 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 74c | 2,693$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.08 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 2,662$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.52 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 2,570$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.33 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af4…f9e0backed Under | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Under | 28c | 1,600$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.98 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 38c | 1,483$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.95 | 214 | 60.7%130 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 27c | 1,104$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.85 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.34 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 27c | 999$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.27 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 78c | 842.2$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 78c | 837.08$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 73c | 636$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.72 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 38c | 624$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Under | 38c | 612.5$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 38c | 611.99$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.56 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 71c | 604.02$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.55 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 27c | 559.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.98 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Under | 36c | 550.55$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.65 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 54c | 485.7$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.71 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 472.83$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.17 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.08 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 59c | 387.88$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.03 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 27c | 378$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.1 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x740d…9967backed Under | 79c | 316.46$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 32c | 311.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.99 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +6.6wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…9942backed Under | 72c | 297.65$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 24c | 284$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 62c | 273.71$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.15 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 75c | 265.79$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.12 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf6…f951backed Under | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…b628backed Under | 72c | 238.4$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 37c | 236.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.68 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Over | 62c | 206.4$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 32c | 204.54$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +7.1wins | +0.31per pick | 48cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 44c | 203.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.78 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 73c | 203.06$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…674fbacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3127…ff44backed Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 28c | 193.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140d…a937backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 71c | 182.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 26cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed Over | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +172.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…26f2backed Over | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 74c | 142.56$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.08 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 38c | 136.39$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.1 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Over | 74c | 134.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Under | 75c | 133.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under | 75c | 131.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 76c | 117.11$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 61c | 111.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…e058backed Under | 74c | 110$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 66c | 105.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2ee8backed Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Over | 25c | 90.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +7.7wins | +0.35per pick | 38cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Under | 37c | 82.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 48c | 80.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 178 | 48.9%87 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 24c | 76.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 19 | 94.7%18 W · 1 L | +7.9wins | +0.42per pick | 53cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Over | 63c | 75.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked Under | 68c | 73.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 19c | 73.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…5e78backed Over | 24c | 69.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Over | 27c | 68.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 63c | 62.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8168…97e2backed Under | 35c | 57.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 25c | 50.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…d49dbacked Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +90%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7718…4c1bbacked Over | 23c | 49.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…1c3fbacked Over | 63c | 47.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…a6edbacked Under | 68c | 44.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 71c | 42.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 61c | 40.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 65c | 40.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…01ffbacked Over | 61c | 40.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Under | 75c | 40.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…2646backed Over | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 51c | 38.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed Under | 57c | 34.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc78…6513backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 41c | 31.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…d6f0backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…6253backed Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…67e1backed Over | 75c | 27.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5this page
- Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.