Champions League · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffb2351b4ed217f27e9ce76670c599756e14175edd7ac9750241c91d5e8fe8a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,017 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Over | 43c | 101,579$43,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,923.9 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 60,329$27,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,888.83 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 56c | 18,887$10,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,576.76 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Under | 56c | 17,857$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +10.6wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 10,647$6,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,068.56 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 56c | 8,995$5,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,030.13 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.96 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 44c | 5,513$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,076.19 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Under | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.7 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 55c | 4,631$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,547 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Under | 2c | 3,754$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Over | 45c | 3,434$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.7 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 56c | 3,356$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.84 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcb…8709backed Over | 44c | 2,784$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 43c | 1,998$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.02 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…80c9backed Under | 57c | 1,755$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 46c | 1,121$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.29 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 54c | 955.75$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.1 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 58c | 840.78$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.65 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 54c | 674.83$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.41 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Over | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 44c | 607$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.17 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 55c | 549.98$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.49 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Under | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…e04fbacked Over | 41c | 505.93$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Over | 46c | 500.08$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.08 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Under | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Under | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Under | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 34c | 476.57$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.52 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 43c | 472.17$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.98 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 45c | 457.78$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.78 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 57c | 445.98$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.21 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0d…45bfbacked Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 55c | 413$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.15 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.1 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Over | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.13 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +7.7wins | +0.35per pick | 38cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Under | 59c | 393.2$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.58 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 44c | 374.81$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.09 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x251f…7aaebacked Under | 57c | 353.96$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e37…e6e1backed Under | 57c | 349.86$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4f…1d50backed Over | 44c | 339.65$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08d5…0390backed Over | 44c | 334.91$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4b…f7fdbacked Over | 46c | 332.61$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 26c | 304.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.78 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 70c | 304.1$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 45c | 262.61$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.45 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 57c | 225$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0a…a693backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 46c | 217.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.49 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 8c | 213.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 57c | 213.03$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.53 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…0777backed Under | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 43c | 205.61$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.19 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.92 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 56c | 187.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.87 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 55c | 185.26$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.89 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 56c | 170.54$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.43 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 155.11$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 57c | 125$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3469…3676backed Over | 45c | 124.72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.72 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Under | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…ac76backed Under | 55c | 119.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 42c | 119.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Over | 42c | 119.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked Under | 49c | 118.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Under | 59c | 117.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe05d…b812backed Over | 43c | 116.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Under | 57c | 115.79$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 57c | 115$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…013fbacked Under | 57c | 114.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x805c…a173backed Under | 44c | 113.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 46c | 108.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 45c | 106.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x095e…abc5backed Over | 43c | 100.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Over | 44c | 100.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 187 | 54.5%102 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5this page
- Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.