Champions League · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8212210be403732f316700818d6252af95db64ca34800555adcc629d08756ae8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,759 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 63c | 49,959$31,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,484.78 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +10.6wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 37c | 14,310$5,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,294.69 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 37c | 13,113$4,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,851.65 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 10,829$4,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,005.78 | 617 | 41.5%256 W · 361 L | -21.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 67c | 7,463$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.69 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 6,698$2,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,847.75 | 2,101 | 43.6%917 W · 1,184 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 37c | 6,445$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.15 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 62c | 5,043$3,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.41 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 37c | 4,740$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 33c | 4,661$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.1 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 34c | 4,001$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.49 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 33c | 3,398$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.12 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Yes | 61c | 1,435$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.59 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 990.21$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.3 | 1,596 | 39.8%636 W · 960 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 37c | 936.49$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7ec8backed No | 33c | 902.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 32c | 861.37$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.53 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 22c | 658$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.47 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 41c | 570.74$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.24 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf034…d5a8backed No | 37c | 521.62$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 37c | 489.31$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.15 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 35c | 464.23$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.48 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 456.62$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.31 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 63c | 417.7$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed No | 37c | 406.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb45…1a6bbacked Yes | 64c | 390.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.94 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Yes | 64c | 312.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.79 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e795backed Yes | 64c | 307.19$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2274…988ebacked No | 33c | 304.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked No | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…c7c5backed Yes | 64c | 284.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 36c | 251.59$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.57 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 65c | 246.15$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed No | 37c | 231$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 64c | 226.56$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…f55abacked No | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 212.66$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 1,141 | 35.4%404 W · 737 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked No | 37c | 202.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x088c…65c6backed Yes | 54c | 200.83$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +172.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 35c | 199.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…23d2backed No | 49c | 188.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 67c | 179.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked No | 38c | 158.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…26f2backed No | 66c | 154.44$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 64c | 153$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.19 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 38c | 149.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 64c | 149.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdc…a9afbacked No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Yes | 64c | 146.74$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.97 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed No | 36c | 141.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 61c | 136.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Yes | 52c | 136.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.31 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6270…4e79backed No | 37c | 134.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9e…135ebacked Yes | 64c | 120.31$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed No | 17c | 117$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 58c | 116.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 417 | 43.4%181 W · 236 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…8f57backed Yes | 67c | 115.56$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…f731backed Yes | 62c | 114.1$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed No | 67c | 111.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4f…ccbbbacked No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f6…21bebacked Yes | 66c | 104.88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 64c | 103.2$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 64c | 100.16$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf6…f951backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes | 66c | 98.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf064…54a4backed Yes | 64c | 98.8$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…0247backed Yes | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed No | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 36c | 91.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…ee3dbacked No | 48c | 88.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2927…05fcbacked Yes | 62c | 83.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d5…e7cabacked No | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…60c5backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 38c | 77.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 46c | 76.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 40c | 75.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 161 | 37.9%61 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 66c | 75.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b02…ccf1backed No | 41c | 73.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Yes | 67c | 72.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 38c | 72.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 71c | 69.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked No | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked No | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 64c | 62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed No | 37c | 61.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Yes | 64c | 59.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.