TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2274…988e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.81
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.12
Dubrovnik: Tamara Zidansek vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$24.01
Dubrovnik: Mayar Sherif vs Mia Risticbacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Split: Mili Poljicak vs Felix Gillbacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.98
Alicante: Lloyd Harris vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.17
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.02
Split: Josip Simundza vs Eliakim Coulibalybacked Eliakim Coulibaly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$29.78
Naples: Daniel Altmaier vs Miguel Damasbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$97.07
Alicante: Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Inaki Montesbacked Inaki Montes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Alicante: Samuele Pieri vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Naples: Francesco Forti vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Alicante: Dali Blanch vs Justin Engelbacked Justin Engel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Split: Ergi Kirkin vs Sandro Koppbacked Sandro Kopp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$11.33
Yokkaichi: James McCabe vs Andre Ilaganbacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Miami Open: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Zverevbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.83
Split: Andrej Nedic vs Jelle Selsbacked Jelle Sels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.17
Kigali 2: Stefano Napolitano vs Maximilian Neuchristbacked Maximilian Neuchrist · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Antalya 3: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Ekaterine Gorgodze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.94
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-78.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.41
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.83
Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spread: Knicks (-19.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$202
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$14.77
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Cavaliers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.07
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Hornets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.12
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.12
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-62.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick7cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Jose State Spartans vs. Boise State Broncosbacked San Jose State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$201.64
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. North Carolina State Wolfpackbacked Pittsburgh Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$612.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$51.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. SKA St. Petersburgbacked CSKA Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Sichuan Blue Whalesbacked Sichuan Blue Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. South Koreabacked South Korea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.