TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Split: Ergi Kirkin vs Sandro Kopp

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sandro Koppof Ergi Kirkin, Sandro Kopp
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,879

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,879 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Ergi Kirkin35c12,740$4,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,518.852,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Sandro Kopp60c12,088$7,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,885.988659.3%51 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Sandro Kopp53c4,433$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,083.241,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Ergi Kirkin42c1,866$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.83,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Ergi Kirkin38c1,188$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.565849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Ergi Kirkin44c1,082$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.2924350.2%122 W · 121 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Ergi Kirkin38c895.47$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.971,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Sandro Kopp63c872.77$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.9345457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Ergi Kirkin38c824$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.1246932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Ergi Kirkin38c820.18$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.674740.4%19 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ergi Kirkin38c803.75$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.768,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Ergi Kirkin39c627.46$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.844,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Sandro Kopp63c476.2$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.192,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Sandro Kopp64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.751,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Sandro Kopp63c395.56$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3628835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Ergi Kirkin38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Sandro Kopp52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.621,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Sandro Kopp63c369.98$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.893063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Sandro Kopp63c316.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8522465.2%146 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Ergi Kirkin38c277$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2620336%73 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Ergi Kirkin38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013450.7%68 W · 66 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sandro Kopp57c260.72$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.127,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Ergi Kirkin48c239.98$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1921346.5%99 W · 114 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Ergi Kirkin42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x500e…6118backed Sandro Kopp63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.123965.3%156 W · 83 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Ergi Kirkin37c233.52$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.41,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Sandro Kopp59c226.96$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0565558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Sandro Kopp68c223.4$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4921845.9%100 W · 118 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Ergi Kirkin37c220$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.497141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Ergi Kirkin37c218.53$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8640744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Ergi Kirkin37c216.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8025250%126 W · 126 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Ergi Kirkin37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Ergi Kirkin50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Ergi Kirkin51c196.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Ergi Kirkin38c190$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.210242.2%43 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Ergi Kirkin37c183.1$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.161,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Sandro Kopp56c179.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0596035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Sandro Kopp58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4194549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Sandro Kopp58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4119052.6%100 W · 90 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Ergi Kirkin41c163.59$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.422,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Sandro Kopp62c160$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.81,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Ergi Kirkin28c155.27$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.973,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Sandro Kopp61c155.17$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5238268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Ergi Kirkin37c150.4$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.657,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Ergi Kirkin38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579745.4%44 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Ergi Kirkin38c147$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4654434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Ergi Kirkin37c122.12$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.183,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Ergi Kirkin38c119$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.951,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Ergi Kirkin38c105$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.977047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Ergi Kirkin36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Ergi Kirkin38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3830452%158 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Sandro Kopp52c93.48$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8734149.9%170 W · 171 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Ergi Kirkin40c90.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.576,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Ergi Kirkin29c82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1434744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked Sandro Kopp63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3712142.1%51 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Sandro Kopp63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3721847.2%103 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Ergi Kirkin38c79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0227246.3%126 W · 146 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa262…c8babacked Sandro Kopp64c78.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.344259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a5…5303backed Sandro Kopp63c78.06$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.881566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Ergi Kirkin38c66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0822847.4%108 W · 120 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Ergi Kirkin38c66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0829244.5%130 W · 162 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Ergi Kirkin36c64.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.254,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Ergi Kirkin37c61.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.632,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Ergi Kirkin23c52.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.751,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Sandro Kopp61c50.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.72,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Sandro Kopp56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2290335.8%323 W · 580 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Ergi Kirkin37c48.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8453544.1%236 W · 299 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Ergi Kirkin28c48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5526941.3%111 W · 158 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2274…988ebacked Sandro Kopp74c42.96$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.332040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Ergi Kirkin38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.29443.6%41 W · 53 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Ergi Kirkin37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.847453.2%252 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62bd…3dfbbacked Ergi Kirkin38c38.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.712142.9%9 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a93…f6dfbacked Ergi Kirkin39c37.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.64560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+60.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Ergi Kirkin38c31.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9959440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Sandro Kopp63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Ergi Kirkin37c31.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.836,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Ergi Kirkin37c31.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6511352.2%59 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Ergi Kirkin37c31.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.657354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6436…aa37backed Sandro Kopp60c30.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2910152.5%53 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Sandro Kopp59c30.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4536135.7%129 W · 232 L-35.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Sandro Kopp50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a57…913fbacked Sandro Kopp62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.312361.8%76 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Ergi Kirkin37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0433651.5%173 W · 163 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Sandro Kopp52c24.64$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8265264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Sandro Kopp56c22.45$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9557252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5fa…4bc1backed Sandro Kopp60c22.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.92560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Sandro Kopp63c21.18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7838460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Sandro Kopp63c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9227664.1%177 W · 99 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.