TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x62bd…3dfb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.48
Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.92
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.63
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.44
Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+87.2%+$21.04
Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.65
Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.63
Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+90.3%+$21.62
Bucks vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.19
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.96
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.16
Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$16.59
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.53
Raptors vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.21
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.24
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$47.84
Spread: Magic (-12.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.06
Spread: Magic (-13.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.18
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.72
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.36
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$149.74
Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$92.78
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Tommy Paulbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.21
Morelia: Luka Pavlovic vs Adam Waltonbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$143.39
Miami Open: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.92
Split: Oleksii Krutykh vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Oleksii Krutykh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$36.55
Sao Paulo: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$27.24
Sao Paulo: Lautaro Midon vs Alvaro Guillen Mezabacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.43
Naples: Andrea Guerrieri vs Stefano Travagliabacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$48.74
Naples: Daniel Altmaier vs Miguel Damasbacked Miguel Damas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Alicante: Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Inaki Montesbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$57.2
Naples: Jakub Paul vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Jakub Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.54
Naples: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Enrico Dalla Vallebacked Mikhail Kukushkin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.13
Alicante: Remy Bertola vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$68.16
Split: Alexander Vasilev vs George Loffhagenbacked Alexander Vasilev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$71.61
Alicante: Samuele Pieri vs Jesper de Jongbacked Samuele Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Naples: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Jacopo Vasamibacked Jacopo Vasami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Dubrovnik: Anhelina Kalinina vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Lucia Bronzetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.98
Naples: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Martineaubacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.39
Split: Ergi Kirkin vs Sandro Koppbacked Ergi Kirkin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+156.7%+$178.86
Murcia: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Mikhail Kukushkin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.99
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-66%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-11.5)backed New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.5
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (W)backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.65
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-20.5)backed Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$83.02
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Verdant vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 1 Winnerbacked Verdant · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.13
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Berlin International Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+159.4%+$173.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
Will Croatia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$23.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$189.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$148.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$47.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.