TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,394

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,394 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under43c50,396$21,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,695.371,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over55c36,000$19,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,079.9910050%50 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over57c31,873$18,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,707.5940351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Over55c25,000$13,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,249.991,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Under45c23,501$10,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,575.43844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Under44c12,000$5,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2805052%26 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under46c5,435$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50037754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over56c4,316$2,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.0785250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Under45c4,192$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.5164242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Over54c3,594$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.241,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under46c3,333$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.1891945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bfb…9c40backed Under47c2,990$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.3837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over54c2,233$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.1886649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over53c1,751$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.811,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under12c1,633$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.6531828.3%90 W · 228 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36050251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Under46c751.91$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.0713547.4%64 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under35c741.58$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.0211537.4%43 W · 72 L+0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over55c741.12$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.4576950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over55c727$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.1531848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed Over56c714.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.294372.1%31 W · 12 L+7.7wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under49c700$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.9515431.8%49 W · 105 L-12.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under17c610.41$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.821,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under45c571.89$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.355757.9%33 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under43c508.3$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.573339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over55c502.47$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.1120354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Under46c481.91$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.6813252.3%69 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over51c470.59$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.5916756.3%94 W · 73 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over75c384.06$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.22,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.147454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62bd…3dfbbacked Over55c329.45$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over54c311$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8410650%53 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed Under44c231.69$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.946541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over54c224.19$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.1328251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over54c224$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0417247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under43c222.26$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.271,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1b8…437cbacked Over55c218.18$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1810650.9%54 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd815…1cdebacked Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Over68c201.61$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.612638.5%10 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Under45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9024847.6%118 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25c2…cd02backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over63c196$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.551,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under44c184.7$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.271,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5725258.3%147 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Under7c156.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.653262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c4b…8616backed Under45c151.07$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9817343.4%75 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under46c148.91$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.513449.3%66 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under44c120.6$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0610846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Over42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.66931.9%22 W · 47 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Under58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.612252.5%64 W · 58 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-13%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over52c108.1$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6566552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under18c104.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4519254.7%105 W · 87 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under46c99.65$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8434752.4%182 W · 165 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under46c99.28$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6722853.9%123 W · 105 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed Under45c95.04$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.774946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under48c81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8836648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0e8…7042backed Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.652548%12 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under42c79$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1833647.9%161 W · 175 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under43c70.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4259450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Over57c63.38$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2515245.4%69 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under42c58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3633251.5%171 W · 161 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefcb…f64abacked Under49c56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.442568%17 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c23…9d76backed Over55c54.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3449…abdfbacked Over54c54.62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.134247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Under46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9486049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Under43c49.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.52040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7468…3d24backed Under45c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83652.8%19 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+28.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Over67c37.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.196051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0419651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over55c36.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3919951.8%103 W · 96 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a22…9f35backed Under42c34.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.386053.3%32 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Under46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Under47c32.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156662.1%41 W · 25 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1508…5760backed Over56c30.7$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.511163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Under42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.522759.5%135 W · 92 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc439…7388backed Under45c26.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.86633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-54.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over62c25.82$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.723,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Under46c23.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.812553.6%67 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Over59c21.27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7214963.8%95 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Over56c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2412050.8%61 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922750.7%115 W · 112 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Over76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8232653.1%173 W · 153 L+18.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.