TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blackhawks vs. Islanders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blackhawksof Blackhawks, Islanders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$785,081

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $785,081 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 572 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Blackhawks40c153,600$61,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,495.810840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Islanders60c74,760$44,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,855.7822443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Islanders61c47,012$28,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,538.6215054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Blackhawks38c36,952$14,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,830.567051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Blackhawks37c36,799$13,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,333.631,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Islanders60c35,490$21,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,29448549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Islanders61c18,414$11,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,291.111,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Islanders53c14,496$7,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,665.1227448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x759c…5f4bbacked Islanders61c13,313$8,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,121.21050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Blackhawks39c12,902$5,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,870.411,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Islanders61c12,900$7,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,86928251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Blackhawks40c11,223$4,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,767.8461950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Blackhawks39c10,925$4,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,657.721,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Blackhawks40c10,695$4,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,416.9920552.2%107 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Blackhawks36c10,335$3,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,620.5850049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders26c8,756$2,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,297.931,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Blackhawks74c8,566$6,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250.7611745.3%53 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Islanders5c8,447$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.3310650%53 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Islanders60c7,482$4,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,489.218641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Islanders4c6,649$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.7315057.3%86 W · 64 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Islanders60c6,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Islanders61c5,618$3,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,427.233844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Islanders60c5,555$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,33321755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Islanders61c5,483$3,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,344.869254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Blackhawks40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00061953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Islanders62c5,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.9711553%61 W · 54 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked Islanders64c4,844$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,100.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+56%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Islanders60c4,723$2,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,829.9347951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blackhawks38c4,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4801,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Islanders61c3,962$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,41785250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Islanders59c3,673$2,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,167.3522747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Blackhawks40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80027243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Blackhawks40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80027547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc689…5250backed Islanders63c2,902$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.073959%23 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Islanders61c2,750$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.2562346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Blackhawks39c2,600$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,58644551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Islanders63c2,577$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,623.5414954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Islanders62c2,555$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.191945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Blackhawks40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5007755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Islanders64c2,210$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.191,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Blackhawks80c2,177$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.511,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Blackhawks37c2,020$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.636648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Islanders61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2201,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Islanders24c1,982$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.945747.4%27 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Islanders61c1,967$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20032151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Islanders23c1,932$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.676355.6%35 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Blackhawks74c1,925$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.53764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Islanders64c1,875$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Islanders8c1,782$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14089355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Islanders29c1,761$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.2270249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Islanders25c1,750$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.476259.7%37 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Islanders63c1,600$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00233652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blackhawks40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Islanders16c1,450$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.852,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Blackhawks73c1,387$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.476456.3%36 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Islanders60c1,377$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.4111950.4%60 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blackhawks44c1,309$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.783,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Islanders8c1,307$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6925635.9%92 W · 164 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Blackhawks56c1,300$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.9541850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Blackhawks60c1,276$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.711,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Islanders9c1,252$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9931828.3%90 W · 228 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a4…82febacked Islanders64c1,227$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Islanders60c1,206$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.5938849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Islanders60c1,202$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.8733941.3%140 W · 199 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7d7…e752backed Islanders63c1,200$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Islanders6c1,196$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7460337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Islanders60c1,102$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.6941354.5%225 W · 188 L+17.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Blackhawks77c1,079$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.7985464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Blackhawks39c1,064$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.681,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4e…c3c3backed Islanders16c1,019$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16621534.4%74 W · 141 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Blackhawks38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62042847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3852…f0bbbacked Blackhawks37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+76.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Islanders61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61026750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d92…ebb4backed Islanders64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13e3…3838backed Blackhawks36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6401100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ba…b7bfbacked Islanders63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6304060%24 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x698e…104fbacked Islanders61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-66.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c4e…a377backed Blackhawks37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Islanders25c997.99$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.6628340.3%114 W · 169 L-24.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Islanders64c970.86$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.358955.1%49 W · 40 L+9.3wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc77b…83fdbacked Islanders3c939.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Blackhawks40c938$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.83850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Blackhawks36c905.85$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.7419353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed Islanders27c871.92$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.457749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Islanders64c863.85$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.8645751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…d355backed Blackhawks40c850$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661f…098abacked Blackhawks39c820.51$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.51475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+60.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Islanders61c820$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.222352.9%118 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1760…693cbacked Blackhawks40c820$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69d9…9881backed Islanders61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030657.8%177 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf756…7d3abacked Islanders60c810$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4861136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x397d…32a2backed Blackhawks41c800$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+69.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbab…d156backed Islanders61c785$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.851258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x407b…e0fabacked Blackhawks41c770$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.31250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab2…aa17backed Islanders60c760$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb29e…d14fbacked Blackhawks41c750$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.51346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x24c7…cfe3backed Blackhawks41c740$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.6966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+43.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ee8…dbcebacked Islanders61c740$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e7a…5314backed Islanders63c737.29$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.49425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-46.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97a5…cb58backed Islanders61c730$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.3955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.