TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x661f…098a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT5655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$16.46
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+168.4%+$25.26
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10,133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8,631.81
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22,106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$21,930.23
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10,133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10,546.54
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$4,088.88
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,817Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$6,472.71
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,071Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$3,909.07
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$477.45
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.92
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,067Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$5,713.83
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$5,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,067
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,066.85
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10,134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,133.97
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$671.89
Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,731Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,730.88
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+109.3%+$3,400.91
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.88
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,798Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,798.32
Spread: Thunder (-23.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,668Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$3,976.03
Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$5,412.76
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,706.37
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$280.78
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,811Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,542.55
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT3040%12 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,053Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$731.85
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,067Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$7,600.49
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,169.61
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.95
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,804Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$4,388.68
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,039Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$6,958.26
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,563Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+80.1%+$5,254.75
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,067
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,066.99
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,014Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,014.31
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$7,306Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,306.21
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$120.4
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$17.04
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,067
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,924Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,924.11
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,361Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,416.79
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,399.91
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,497.95
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,803.72
Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,399.99
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,198.17
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,015.15
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$377.19
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$409.09
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$235.29
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.97
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$560.83
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+60.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,067Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$3,521.13
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$417.39
Stars vs. Flyersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,599.94
Blackhawks vs. Islandersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$500.51
All 4 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,066.99
Spread: Chicago Sky (-6.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$473.54
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.