MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0d722ca9f4b7c47eb7555bc48e40f0bbc3974ca1399567b60f00e4822297bf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $390,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $377,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $390,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 24,547$13,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,417.23 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 18,813$8,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,757.27 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 16,918$9,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,812.19 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 15,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,399.97 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Minnesota Twins | 78c | 13,743$10,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,048.21 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 12,085$6,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,014.63 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 11,780$6,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,478.86 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 10,349$4,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703.21 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6b…4c24backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 9,138$3,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,352.05 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 7,806$4,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,226.03 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 7,299$4,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,014.31 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 6,964$3,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750.04 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 6,560$3,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,507.46 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 6,298$3,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,396.92 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 6,125$2,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,302.29 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Toronto Blue Jays | 2c | 6,081$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.97 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 5,802$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,191.1 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 5c | 5,153$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.03 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 5,055$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.57 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 59c | 4,376$2,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.57 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5d…7e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 4,343$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 4,229$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.03 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 4,080$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.06 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 3,956$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.74 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 3,937$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.15 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 3,893$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.56 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 3,889$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.8 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Minnesota Twins | 73c | 3,701$2,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.97 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Minnesota Twins | 69c | 3,521$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.41 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 3,450$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.21 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Toronto Blue Jays | 72c | 3,429$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.5 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 65c | 3,343$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.67 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 3,222$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.67 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 3,051$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.55 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 2,805$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.81 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Blue Jays | 67c | 2,462$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.04 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 2,295$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.07 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 2,275$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 2,254$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.47 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 2,225$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.21 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 2,211$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.82 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 2,200$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 9c | 2,172$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.44 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 2,159$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.45 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.96 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,788$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.23 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,690$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.8 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,687$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.59 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,680$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.29 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69f…e36bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 2c | 1,618$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,572$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.15 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…6b6bbacked Minnesota Twins | 35c | 1,567$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.34 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Minnesota Twins | 68c | 1,437$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.63 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,342$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.35 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Minnesota Twins | 74c | 1,338$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.74 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,301$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.38 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,255$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.78 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 1,134$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.65 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 1,088$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.55 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 1,047$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.15 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2259backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 1,010$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 8c | 1,008$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 947.34$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.59 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 902.59$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.53 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 811.1$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.23 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 738.46$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.79 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 22c | 719.94$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.31 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 680.6$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 607.56$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.02 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 535.35$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.86 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 519.57$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.96 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 27c | 508.9$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.92 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 504.58$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.38 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 474.45$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.12 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 473.31$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.26 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 472.59$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.2 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 469.75$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.91 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 450.19$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.1 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 420$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 400.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.31 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 399.18$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.54 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 373.48$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.95 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 367.08$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.69 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 334.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.85 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 334.13$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.39 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…eaf3backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 322.93$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.93 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 311.4$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.86 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Minnesota Twins | 62c | 299.7$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 299.62$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.77 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…d5f0backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 297.6$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e87…caf4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 291.53$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 11.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 12.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-5.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-6.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.