MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb7a1d68fe1ee12dfbe65d314a91524f1dadaa5d0a96d16c57231ca243fb4ae2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $269,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Over | 45c | 193,533$86,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,425.5 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 56c | 111,988$62,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,193.96 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 55c | 28,000$15,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,600 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 53c | 27,002$14,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,773.19 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 18,904$10,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,797.66 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 52c | 15,672$8,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,085.38 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Under | 56c | 4,099$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.72 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 3,612$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.11 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Over | 45c | 2,901$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.45 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 43c | 2,560$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.62 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 58c | 2,412$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.88 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 56c | 1,904$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.32 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 56c | 1,791$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.23 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 54c | 1,715$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.56 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Over | 43c | 1,620$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 39c | 1,421$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.06 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 1,000$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Under | 69c | 981.4$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.23 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.27 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 55c | 906.87$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.09 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c55…7ef8backed Under | 53c | 891.64$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.07 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 51c | 849.25$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.47 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 54c | 832.16$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.65 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Under | 67c | 724.95$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…95b7backed Under | 62c | 631.09$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.86 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 59c | 510$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 66c | 509.55$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.43 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Under | 46c | 479.59$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.98 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 43c | 450.03$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.56 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd801…ab8bbacked Over | 49c | 407.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 57c | 359.48$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.9 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Over | 41c | 355.77$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.75 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a601backed Over | 43c | 336.91$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.87 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 54c | 334.02$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.58 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 56c | 333.56$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.77 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Over | 33c | 291.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Over | 45c | 277.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 56c | 271.9$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.64 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 54c | 270.11$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 51c | 266.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.47 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…ce07backed Under | 58c | 260.13$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 55c | 251.65$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 43c | 231.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.67 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 43c | 227.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Under | 67c | 224.69$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 23c | 215.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 55c | 213.03$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Under | 58c | 201.68$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Under | 38c | 194.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.61 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 44c | 175.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over | 46c | 174.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Under | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088a…9ee7backed Under | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Over | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 43c | 157.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 71c | 143.58$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 43c | 140.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 43c | 140.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 43c | 140.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 43c | 140.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 43c | 140.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over | 43c | 140.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Over | 43c | 140.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed Over | 43c | 140.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 43c | 140.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 43c | 140.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 43c | 140.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 43c | 140.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 43c | 140.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 43c | 140.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 43c | 140.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Over | 43c | 140.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 43c | 140.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 8c | 135.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Over | 56c | 134.3$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.21 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 44c | 125.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Over | 32c | 119.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Over | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…e316backed Over | 42c | 111.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Under | 56c | 107.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb74…74efbacked Under | 58c | 101.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed Under | 48c | 99.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 44c | 97.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Over | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Under | 56c | 85.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over | 22c | 82.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 63c | 81.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321f…5392backed Over | 48c | 80.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 43c | 78.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 51c | 73.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York MetsNew York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.