MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b21ee62a7a7db71c095f23867a5dea3593cdd40f1991d1504b64aa9f82ee26e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Arizona Diamondbacks, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $786,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $811,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $786,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 383 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 150,279$62,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,577.3 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed New York Mets | 54c | 103,499$56,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,417.5 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked New York Mets | 59c | 99,898$58,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,958.13 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 74c | 66,447$49,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,127.14 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 47,482$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked New York Mets | 62c | 37,346$23,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,175.5 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 33c | 25,589$8,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,262.39 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca77…0fb3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 16,508$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 15,012$6,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,455.33 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 14,469$5,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,932.29 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 12,461$6,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,888.39 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -6.9wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…fb5bbacked New York Mets | 80c | 12,351$9,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 11,764$4,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,823.32 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed New York Mets | 57c | 10,254$5,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,409.18 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 9,790$5,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,681.9 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed New York Mets | 29c | 8,867$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,266.4 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 62c | 8,355$5,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200.61 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 8,123$4,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,548.66 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed New York Mets | 69c | 7,203$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.41 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 6,670$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,601.18 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…c9a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 6,457$4,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,231.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 6,367$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.97 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 41c | 5,762$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,403.68 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 5,711$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.92 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed New York Mets | 28c | 5,226$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780.41 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed New York Mets | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 80c | 4,940$3,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 69c | 4,425$3,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050.87 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 58c | 3,920$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.17 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed New York Mets | 54c | 3,846$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.92 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 3,481$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.37 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 3,439$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.24 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed New York Mets | 66c | 3,265$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.1 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 2c | 3,100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 5cpaid | +609.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 2,894$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.46 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 3c | 2,666$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +339.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 2,600$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 82 | 15.9%13 W · 69 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked New York Mets | 41c | 2,566$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.88 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 2,463$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.33 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Mets | 42c | 2,458$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.33 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 2,353$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…672abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 2,353$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.6 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed New York Mets | 53c | 2,163$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.73 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked New York Mets | 59c | 2,104$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.67 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked New York Mets | 56c | 2,055$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.09 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed New York Mets | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.99 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New York Mets | 49c | 1,875$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.82 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,853$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.46 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…54d1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 1,769$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed New York Mets | 26c | 1,765$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.51 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 1,711$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.64 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed New York Mets | 60c | 1,627$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.67 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2d…8622backed New York Mets | 25c | 1,528$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed New York Mets | 59c | 1,515$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.13 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,332$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.53 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9009…59e0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 1,249$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked New York Mets | 59c | 1,239$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.5 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked New York Mets | 53c | 1,170$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.22 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked New York Mets | 34c | 1,153$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.86 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e9…ce05backed New York Mets | 63c | 1,121$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 1,114$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.4 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,080$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.7 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Mets | 40c | 1,024$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.11 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…4540backed New York Mets | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 1,000$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b58…8692backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f0…8aa6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 72c | 999.94$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.96 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…ce26backed New York Mets | 27c | 900$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 846.87$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.06 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 76c | 843.12$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked New York Mets | 54c | 792.95$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.12 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 17c | 789.31$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.18 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed New York Mets | 75c | 774.76$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.32 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed New York Mets | 53c | 700$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 675.82$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.45 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed New York Mets | 58c | 673.3$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked New York Mets | 57c | 664.31$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.96 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 648.96$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.58 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 641.35$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.7 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 18c | 633.87$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.1 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked New York Mets | 36c | 619$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.93 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 603.82$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.99 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 597.68$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.46 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 588.17$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.15 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed New York Mets | 65c | 571.15$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.93 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed New York Mets | 65c | 571.15$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.93 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked New York Mets | 65c | 571.15$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.93 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed New York Mets | 65c | 571.15$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.93 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed New York Mets | 65c | 570.61$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.36 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8b…d6e6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 570.53$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.92 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Mets | 66c | 562.84$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 561.29$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.52 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 2c | 550$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 550$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b3…dc6dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 540.6$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked New York Mets | 31c | 525.68$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.72 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Metsthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.