TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c55…7ef8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shymkent: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Buvaysar Gadamauribacked Daniil Ostapenkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$719.96
Abidjan: Florent Bax vs Karan Singhbacked Florent Bax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$170
Abidjan: Sebastian Gima vs Niels Viskerbacked Sebastian Gima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.25
Madrid Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Venus Williamsbacked Kaitlin Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$210
Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Irina-Camelia Begubacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$12.58
Shymkent: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Sean Cueninbacked Sean Cuenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.14
Shymkent: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Gijs Brouwerbacked Petr Bar Biryukov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$532.8
Gwangju: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Murphy Cassonebacked Murphy Cassone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Oeiras 3: Maja Chwalinska vs Simona Waltertbacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$17.86
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.42
Tallahassee: Clement Tabur vs Andres Martinbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.98
Santa Cruz: Federico Coria vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Federico Coria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Santa Cruz: Nicolas Villalon vs Santiago Rodriguez Tavernabacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.33
Wuning 2: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Sergey Fominbacked Daniil Ostapenkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.09
Sarasota: Yibing Wu vs Darwin Blanchbacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$266.38
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$641.62
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Max Alcala Gurri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.47
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.81
Sarasota: Daniil Glinka vs Andres Andradebacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.87
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Monza: Raphael Collignon vs Luca Van Asschebacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$95.49
Sarasota: Hugo Dellien vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Kilian Feldbausch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Madrid: Nicolas Jarry vs Dominic Stephan Strickerbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.08
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Stefan Kozlovbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$25.51
All 24 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-49.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.09
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$672
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$545.79
Athletics vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$563.97
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.75
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$313
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.84
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$453.24
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.91
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$419.07
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-59.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.64
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BIG (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.59
Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs Tricked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked ESC Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$72.96
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.45
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+13.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+85.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5)backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$32.2
CA Lanús vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.13
Millonarios FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$86.57
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GAM Esports vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$225.78
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$205.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$104
FC Twente '65 vs. FC Volendam: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$150
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$290
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)backed ACF Fiorentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Torpedobacked Torpedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.