South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4fccf3e9b0c1cb1bc1a583266a3a5db959b5010e81352f972d02f9651286616
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagroof CA San Lorenzo de Almagro, CD Cuenca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 31c | 713.22$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.76 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed CD Cuenca | 69c | 698.68$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.09 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CD Cuenca | 70c | 565.56$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.24 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 20c | 541.85$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.38 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked CD Cuenca | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed CD Cuenca | 69c | 268.89$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.53 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 19c | 195.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.87 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…332fbacked CD Cuenca | 68c | 172.91$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed CD Cuenca | 69c | 162.95$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.44 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.68 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a35…f88bbacked CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 30c | 112.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CD Cuenca | 70c | 111.31$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 31c | 111.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked CD Cuenca | 70c | 110.29$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 30c | 96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 31c | 94.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.48 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 32c | 89.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 31c | 89.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 31c | 86.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 31c | 55.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 30c | 54.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 30c | 54.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…2941backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 30c | 46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c55…7ef8backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 30c | 46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 31c | 35.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CD Cuenca | 79c | 34.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed CD Cuenca | 69c | 24.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked CD Cuenca | 70c | 22.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed CD Cuenca | 69c | 19.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked CD Cuenca | 69c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5)this page
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CD Cuenca: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-2.5)CD Cuenca won
- Spread: CD Cuenca (-2.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.