TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x04e7…332f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 55 out of 100; worst Asian League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$102.1
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$86.22
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.16
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$164.11
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$133.02
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.16
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$82.74
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$158.48
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.49
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$90
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$165
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$135
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$79.29
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.44
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: LDU de Quito (-1.5)backed Mirassol FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$65.01
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-08-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+117.6%+$117.61
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-08-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-08-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-07-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$234.62
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$122.73
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+143.8%+$186.88
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$97.84
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$187.69
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$61.82
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+134.5%+$161.36
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$71.87
Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5)backed CD Cuenca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.7
Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)backed O'Higgins FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.31
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.16
Will CA Juventud win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$82.83
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.48
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-04-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.14
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$45.21
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$124.9
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+103%+$61.81
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$79.53
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$53.55
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.48
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.31
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 12 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$121.6
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Fagiano Okayama (-1.5)backed V-Varen Nagasaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$51.43
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-08-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-08-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.53
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+158.4%+$396.09
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$110.77
FC Tōkyō vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.63
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Ahli Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$110.77
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Hull City AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$99.55
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-08-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: West Bromwich Albion FC (-1.5)backed Rotherham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)backed Notts County FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$133.02
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$106.63
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$60.09
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$141.83
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$52.91
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$52.91
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$98.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$83.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AIK win on 2026-08-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.