South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: LDU de Quito (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83a70c029eb9a649d578a3aa9d2793dae79ab7ce5ef6b132bd58350c7292efad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mirassol FCof LDU de Quito, Mirassol FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ad7…42aabacked Mirassol FC | 66c | 6,382$4,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.74 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LDU de Quito | 29c | 6,340$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.84 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed LDU de Quito | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mirassol FC | 67c | 984.63$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.39 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed LDU de Quito | 34c | 912.51$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.25 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed LDU de Quito | 35c | 600$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 404 | 42.1%170 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked LDU de Quito | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Mirassol FC | 72c | 430.25$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.03 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Mirassol FC | 64c | 428.26$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.92 | 312 | 40.1%125 W · 187 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Mirassol FC | 65c | 402$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.14 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Mirassol FC | 65c | 346$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.54 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…332fbacked Mirassol FC | 70c | 215.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.01 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Mirassol FC | 65c | 200.44$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Mirassol FC | 64c | 195$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed LDU de Quito | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed LDU de Quito | 36c | 140.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked LDU de Quito | 34c | 129.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Mirassol FC | 65c | 125$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed LDU de Quito | 34c | 124.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…1e72backed LDU de Quito | 25c | 109.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed LDU de Quito | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed LDU de Quito | 35c | 94.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Mirassol FC | 64c | 85.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked LDU de Quito | 34c | 84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 722 | 58.6%423 W · 299 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Mirassol FC | 68c | 81.29$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Mirassol FC | 68c | 71.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed LDU de Quito | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Mirassol FC | 68c | 42.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed LDU de Quito | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Mirassol FC | 64c | 39.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed LDU de Quito | 35c | 31.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Mirassol FC | 65c | 30.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Mirassol FC | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 416 | 62%258 W · 158 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099c…e42cbacked Mirassol FC | 66c | 28.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…802dbacked Mirassol FC | 66c | 28.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Mirassol FC | 65c | 24.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Mirassol FC | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: LDU de Quito (-1.5)this page
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: LDU de Quito O/U 1.5Under won
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: Mirassol FC O/U 0.5Under won
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: LDU de Quito (-2.5)Mirassol FC won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)LDU de Quito won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.