South American Leagues · resolved market
LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37a438e8032899cd40cab046666ac4b8184abb42b04cc5996c8fe5917d0537d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ad7…42aabacked Under | 57c | 34,493$19,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,839.55 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 43c | 20,261$8,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,712.23 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 42c | 2,533$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.54 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 2,281$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.44 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 43c | 1,452$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.45 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 42c | 1,185$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.42 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 1,125$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.75 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 42c | 1,089$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.03 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 43c | 1,080$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.56 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 59c | 1,021$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.58 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 42c | 982.2$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.83 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Under | 59c | 852.82$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.82 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 41c | 685.24$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.95 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Under | 59c | 666$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.06 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 43c | 664.29$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.64 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 43c | 583.44$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.88 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 44c | 499.96$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 44c | 486$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.84 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Under | 56c | 382$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.08 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 41c | 372.53$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.74 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 16c | 358.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Under | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Under | 59c | 308.47$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 43c | 290$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 43c | 290$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 42c | 271.48$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.86 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 44c | 249.91$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.96 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Under | 59c | 204.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Under | 59c | 204.17$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Over | 36c | 186.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.97 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eea…8896backed Under | 56c | 171.76$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 41c | 164.28$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Over | 41c | 163.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 43c | 162.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked Over | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 41c | 135.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Under | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 42c | 117.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Over | 43c | 115.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Over | 44c | 115$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7d…8501backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Over | 22c | 99.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 43c | 68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 59c | 65.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…9fb3backed Under | 56c | 62.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 20c | 60.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33c4…85c2backed Over | 43c | 60.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 41c | 56.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 42c | 51.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Over | 43c | 49.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Over | 43c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Over | 43c | 46.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Under | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…c179backed Under | 57c | 35.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…2f76backed Over | 43c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…582fbacked Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…fa08backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…0cf9backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f16…cae2backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x803e…7331backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5this page
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: LDU de Quito O/U 1.5Under won
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: Mirassol FC O/U 0.5Under won
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: LDU de Quito (-1.5)Mirassol FC won
- Spread: LDU de Quito (-2.5)Mirassol FC won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)LDU de Quito won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.