South American Leagues · resolved market
LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x056e3a23bb37c6b0f79d0bf76cd90fab086293f992b9ad130aa97928c05a7981
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 37c | 6,823$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.92 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Under | 61c | 6,185$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.78 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…9f72backed Over | 56c | 5,102$2,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 4,428$3,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.77 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 44c | 3,430$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.38 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 36c | 1,996$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.35 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 64c | 1,498$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.14 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Over | 7c | 1,110$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 38c | 1,011$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.53 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Under | 73c | 397.74$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.73 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 36c | 293.86$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.79 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 74c | 268.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 38c | 179.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 36c | 178.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over | 70c | 123.57$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 73c | 116.27$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 73c | 116.25$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 74c | 108$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 21c | 97.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 70c | 58.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 68 | 77.9%53 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 55c | 54.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc273…3102backed Over | 46c | 52.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb67a…340bbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 61c | 42.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 36c | 42.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c8…20d5backed Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 40c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 36c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 76c | 36.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under | 46c | 29.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 64c | 20.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 70c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5this page
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: LDU de Quito O/U 1.5Under won
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: Mirassol FC O/U 0.5Under won
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: LDU de Quito (-1.5)Mirassol FC won
- Spread: LDU de Quito (-2.5)Mirassol FC won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)LDU de Quito won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.