TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-04-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$337,289
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$331,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $337,289 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes57c269,828$154,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115,603.2415647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked No43c77,469$33,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,311.622744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No43c35,557$15,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,289.462166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No44c26,474$11,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,705.42650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed No42c22,639$9,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,508.433452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No42c13,477$5,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,726.32181%17 W · 4 L+6.2wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+55.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No41c12,090$4,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,978.683,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed No45c10,744$4,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8351631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No42c7,014$2,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,945.9323858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No43c6,555$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800.348946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No42c6,536$2,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,765.671,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes57c5,268$3,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.3413053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked No42c4,999$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.731030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked No43c4,947$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124.74656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No43c4,524$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.242835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed No45c4,298$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9341266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbf3…4918backed No45c3,438$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed No0c3,333$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed No50c3,218$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.061275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Yes57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2901172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+37.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No42c2,755$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.249268.5%63 W · 29 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Yes57c2,517$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.881457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked No42c2,298$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.23658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked No42c1,999$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.721752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked No42c1,974$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.25850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No43c1,600$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68817258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes58c1,295$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.3714761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No43c1,200$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51612263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No43c1,170$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.0323643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No42c1,052$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.8619560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes57c1,006$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.8937649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No45c967$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.158547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No42c889.98$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.793461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No42c845.73$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.0597146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No42c799.42$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.477751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No42c779.67$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.4614151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bb7…4a53backed No43c711.08$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No43c700$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30112661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No6c664.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.841339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No4c620.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7287154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes56c614.52$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.3158043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No29c613.32$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.4822946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25815858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes63c579.18$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.941,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No42c574.52$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.39452.1%49 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No42c570.82$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.5553046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked No2c530.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.640%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No45c483.5$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.5810243.1%44 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked No42c459.62$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.043661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No42c459.6$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0312146.3%56 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No43c446.99$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1822263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No21c444.75$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.42065%13 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed No43c428.4$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.219854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No2c421.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.294020%8 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No32c418.45$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5344447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No21c410.46$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.299340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Yes22c389.14$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.535547.3%26 W · 29 L+14.3wins+0.26per pick21cpaid+225.7%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x8bc2…7ed7backed Yes79c374.96$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.74366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No42c349.27$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.653834.2%13 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d22…403ebacked Yes58c336.14$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.181163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked No42c287.26$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.657644.7%34 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No42c286.66$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.468550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No42c286.66$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.491553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d6a…26f7backed No43c280.76$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.73771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed No23c264.95$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.941758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62d4…7fc9backed No43c255.15$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No4c252.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0930444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed Yes79c249.97$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.491675%12 W · 4 L-0.1wins0.00per pick75cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No5c221.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4845140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed No42c220.27$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.512544%11 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x503a…1e89backed No44c218.5$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.11330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No45c217.18$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6619056.3%107 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8613158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8616960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8614257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No43c195$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.854548.9%22 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No44c191.87$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3414660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No43c180$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.415060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed No43c179.64$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.242646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+512.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No42c177.41$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3126346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No44c174.24$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.672055%11 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7065…5292backed No44c173.03$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.361145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.491010%1 W · 9 L-4.3wins-0.43per pick53cpaid-82.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No43c169.98$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.091070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No14c166.77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.351,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Yes76c163.55$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.257364.4%47 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No42c162.41$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.213470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No43c160$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.814459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No43c160$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.811759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No43c160$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.812162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No43c157.54$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0937249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e49…a4bbbacked No43c152.48$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No14c140.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4892346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No42c140.71$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.15950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977c…8c15backed Yes55c137.21$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.74475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+68.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6398…0485backed No46c136.16$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.63520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick65cpaid-73%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x04e7…332fbacked No43c134.76$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.95650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked No43c134.76$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.951546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed No42c123.6$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.916847.1%32 W · 36 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0916…78fbbacked No43c118.14$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.