TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6398…0485

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 59 out of 100; worst Mls at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.4
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.88
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.38
Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)backed Bristol City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$40.44
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$38.79
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$16.57
Coventry City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$112.43
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$54.33
Will West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$26.61
Will Millwall FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.67
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.23
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$17.72
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+61.3%+$21.4
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.98
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.61
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$17.77
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.35
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$28.89
Trail Blazers vs. Bullsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+72.4%+$24.51
All 5 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick65cpaid-73%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.32
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$36.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$26.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$30.31
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Pcific Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.