South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf278bf0747a7730c0cffe71f45e69eb6b1bc015a447b83e10f338f140a51659c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $337,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $337,736 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 51c | 249,284$127,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,304.91 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 69,134$33,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,189.17 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f1…c5f8backed No | 49c | 39,200$19,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,182 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 24,637$12,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,503.06 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 51c | 13,999$7,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,189.64 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 51c | 12,928$6,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,609.52 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed No | 49c | 12,601$6,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,425.65 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 48c | 12,509$6,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,504.8 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fb…354fbacked No | 49c | 10,936$5,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,579.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 49c | 9,903$4,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,007.82 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 49c | 9,489$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,838.77 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 49c | 8,569$4,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,341.43 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 48c | 7,961$3,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,139.86 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 5,877$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.1 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 48c | 5,562$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.24 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked No | 49c | 4,955$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 49c | 4,762$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,428.59 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2ef4backed No | 50c | 4,689$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.75 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed No | 49c | 4,489$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.54 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed No | 49c | 4,235$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.75 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed No | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d47…b10cbacked Yes | 51c | 3,920$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…6925backed No | 49c | 3,920$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed No | 50c | 3,092$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.77 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 50c | 2,636$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.07 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 48c | 2,523$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.87 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 49c | 2,423$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.92 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 50c | 2,410$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 33c | 2,325$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.2 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 49c | 2,251$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.28 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed No | 50c | 2,030$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked No | 49c | 1,980$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 51c | 1,749$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.1 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 1,491$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.6 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 51c | 1,485$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.72 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked No | 49c | 1,483$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 30c | 1,090$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.93 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 52c | 1,046$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.36 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 46c | 985.73$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.08 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 49c | 933.82$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.29 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 47c | 911.46$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.32 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 49c | 868.91$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.88 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed No | 50c | 820$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 50c | 800.31$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.4 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed No | 48c | 778.4$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd64b…873cbacked No | 51c | 770.59$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 51c | 719.24$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.81 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked No | 49c | 708.16$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.16 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 49c | 698.02$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.99 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb7…2ec3backed No | 49c | 612.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 49c | 600.83$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.89 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 550.53$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 63c | 518.08$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.2 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf18…179abacked Yes | 53c | 502.69$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 38c | 501.51$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.04 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 24c | 469.3$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.69 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 49c | 425.46$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.26 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked No | 49c | 423.98$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed No | 49c | 410$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…ea7ebacked No | 49c | 407.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked No | 50c | 399.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 31c | 380.87$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.36 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 48c | 358.73$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.39 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Yes | 72c | 354$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 50c | 343.71$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.98 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 52c | 318$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.21 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 53c | 313$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.11 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5160…3e52backed Yes | 72c | 275.9$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Yes | 72c | 266$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 55c | 258.27$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.08 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 52c | 255.77$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.77 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 47c | 243.37$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.65 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 48c | 228.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.43 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 7c | 220$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Yes | 59c | 213$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 47c | 210.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 41c | 203.83$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.74 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 40c | 201.3$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.47 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 78c | 200$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.63 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 199.45$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.65 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed No | 50c | 196$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed No | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 47c | 180$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…c09abacked Yes | 76c | 167$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…57c9backed Yes | 75c | 166.66$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…9476backed Yes | 75c | 166.66$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 47c | 165.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.87 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x874f…b0a5backed No | 49c | 158.22$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 12c | 154.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Yes | 49c | 151$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb593…dbc7backed No | 49c | 150.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will CF Pachuca vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.