South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ad206a189a5cae130e773b7e1eda315e0daed971852f44ab37c82ee1bdf185d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,409 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,267$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 25c | 1,261$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.31 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 1,181$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.63 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 999.04$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.21 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 945.29$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.33 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 49c | 923.57$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.86 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…f531backed No | 74c | 874.09$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe345…f5ecbacked Yes | 26c | 874.09$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…f414backed Yes | 25c | 819.77$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 39c | 813.17$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.57 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 27c | 707.41$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 24c | 683.75$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.23 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 68c | 645$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.7 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 571.19$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.74 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 5c | 567.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 77c | 530.66$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.35 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 59c | 405.37$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.96 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 25c | 314$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31f7…eca9backed Yes | 25c | 265.69$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 22c | 247.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Yes | 26c | 211.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 30c | 186.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 178.7$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 8c | 166.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 164.78$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 15c | 160.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 77c | 159.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 155.2$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 77c | 147.38$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 26c | 143.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 56c | 140.23$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 75c | 136.69$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked No | 60c | 135.51$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 26c | 135$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 120.14$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 76c | 113$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 10c | 102.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 75c | 89.36$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 32c | 82.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 24c | 66.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf18…179abacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Yes | 21c | 63.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 28c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 75c | 52.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 27c | 47.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Yes | 27c | 47.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 38.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked No | 80c | 32.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45be…9b55backed Yes | 64c | 29.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 75c | 21.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 75c | 18.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed No | 75c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 76c | 13.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will CF Pachuca vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.