South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Pachuca vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca9a334bda2952b8a6ddcf49b77b50ef3b1c7ce6409188218176300be9b4cb99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,658 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 24c | 1,249$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.42 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 991.33$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.87 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 50c | 980.75$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.31 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 79c | 881.74$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.17 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 48c | 841.16$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.58 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 55c | 625.13$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.89 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 485.89$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.22 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 30c | 441.31$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.7 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 70c | 397.81$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.79 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 31c | 379.24$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes | 59c | 339.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.17 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 33c | 179.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.93 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Yes | 73c | 155.29$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 70c | 142.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 25c | 131.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 56c | 99.69$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 94.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 76c | 94.34$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.08 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 31c | 92.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 68c | 83.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…700bbacked Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Yes | 69c | 72.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed No | 74c | 69.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed No | 21c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…9f10backed No | 70c | 56.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 47c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 56c | 50.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfacb…2c7dbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…6c9fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Yes | 31c | 37.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45be…9b55backed Yes | 68c | 36.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 66c | 32.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 75c | 30.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 50c | 28.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…0723backed Yes | 73c | 25.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 75c | 22.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked No | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x769f…275abacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 76c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked No | 76c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Pachuca vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?this page
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-03-22?No won
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.