Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb889fc590a72dac1d6078a73d97dda7adc10831237b8b8de73f58c6fb5c8478f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,345,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,527,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,345,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,027 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 53c | 150,000$79,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,499.93 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 61c | 96,112$58,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,602.11 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 61,493$26,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,252.26 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…c9b2backed No | 47c | 49,636$23,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,135.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 60c | 49,232$29,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,643.56 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 45c | 47,915$21,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,689.8 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked No | 47c | 40,664$19,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,112.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 39,687$23,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,549.95 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 40c | 37,624$14,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,861.8 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 45c | 25,208$11,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,386.63 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 40c | 25,052$10,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,072.98 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 18,231$13,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,415.89 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 46c | 17,784$8,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,180.66 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 39c | 17,143$6,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,694.92 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333d…134ebacked Yes | 59c | 16,532$9,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,778.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed No | 47c | 16,480$7,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,745.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed No | 40c | 15,130$6,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,052.18 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 50c | 14,863$7,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,489.5 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 50c | 13,361$6,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,625.94 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 54c | 13,282$7,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,109.84 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…541bbacked Yes | 46c | 12,223$5,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,584.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 11,516$4,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,833.07 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 41c | 10,992$4,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,455.66 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 43c | 10,672$4,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,589 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 39c | 10,000$3,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,917.96 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed No | 47c | 9,972$4,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,687.06 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Yes | 5c | 9,905$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,370.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +154.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 47c | 9,682$4,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550.54 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed No | 41c | 9,330$3,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,785.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed No | 41c | 8,900$3,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,648.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 41c | 8,514$3,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,502.82 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 40c | 8,347$3,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,338.68 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 41c | 8,338$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.16 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…d98bbacked Yes | 58c | 8,198$4,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,443.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 43c | 7,941$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380.23 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 41c | 7,717$3,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,163.89 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Yes | 10c | 7,132$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,404.98 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…e885backed Yes | 34c | 7,000$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,598.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 41c | 7,000$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.94 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes | 14c | 6,785$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,817.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 60c | 6,750$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017.14 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a44…9cc6backed No | 47c | 6,404$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 62c | 6,342$3,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.1 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 59c | 6,232$3,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.99 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 39c | 5,970$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,647.26 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 42c | 5,791$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.3 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 30c | 5,736$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,992.55 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 55c | 5,259$2,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 42c | 5,183$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.35 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed No | 47c | 5,150$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 53c | 5,052$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.15 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.96 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked No | 47c | 4,903$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…caf5backed Yes | 57c | 4,824$2,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae4…9789backed No | 47c | 4,695$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 57c | 4,615$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.29 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 52c | 4,427$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.39 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 60c | 4,257$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.82 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…9194backed No | 47c | 4,120$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…4a00backed Yes | 15c | 4,112$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,495.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 43c | 3,936$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.1 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 41c | 3,930$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b9…f10cbacked Yes | 8c | 3,780$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,459.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +489.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 51c | 3,719$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.77 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 53c | 3,695$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.9 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a23…8ef9backed Yes | 13c | 3,655$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +285.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4d…b339backed Yes | 66c | 3,409$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.51 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 42c | 3,378$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.84 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked No | 43c | 3,369$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.7 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…c875backed Yes | 58c | 3,361$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2895…2c58backed Yes | 59c | 3,306$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.64 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Yes | 9c | 3,196$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +77%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 46c | 3,178$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.27 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 11c | 3,164$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,804.36 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 44c | 3,020$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.87 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed No | 41c | 2,997$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Yes | 59c | 2,926$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.74 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 41c | 2,894$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.46 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 38c | 2,792$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.87 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 45c | 2,789$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.53 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed Yes | 53c | 2,788$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.52 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ed…f691backed Yes | 10c | 2,767$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +283.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 40c | 2,742$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.16 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 41c | 2,700$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.43 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 53c | 2,695$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.58 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Yes | 56c | 2,639$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 8c | 2,635$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.54 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…6e5ebacked Yes | 60c | 2,635$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…fb65backed Yes | 59c | 2,439$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.79 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7587…3afebacked Yes | 59c | 2,439$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 60c | 2,308$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.33 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 56c | 2,300$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 12c | 2,211$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.86 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,127$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.69 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Yes | 20c | 2,112$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.35 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes | 12c | 2,100$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.37per pick | 26cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Yes | 35c | 2,039$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 55c | 2,017$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.