TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa0f6…4892

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
257
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT12639.7%50 W · 76 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 126 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+95.9%+$346.02
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.27
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+305.6%+$397.27
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$120.99
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$169.15
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$85.38
Norway leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$85
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 126 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT6645.5%30 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$124.12
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.22
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$28.18
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.3
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.64
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)backed VfB Stuttgart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.46
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$89.65
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+402.5%+$1,691.35
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.48
Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$115.39
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.94
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.36
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.61
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.84
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$79.48
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$131.82
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+203%+$406.06
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will PAOK win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.39
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)backed VfB Stuttgart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+122.2%+$122.22
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)backed VfB Stuttgart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+376.2%+$112.86
Celtic FC vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+150%+$39
Will PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. KRC Genk end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+72.7%+$126.29
VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+90%+$936.35
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+163.2%+$39.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$59.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.