Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x833962397320716c35a654c7aa394a139c3b406ee912c423ec735f4facf8d79f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atalanta BCof Atalanta BC, BV Borussia 09 Dortmund
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Atalanta BC | 10c | 3,815$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,425.5 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Atalanta BC | 21c | 799.98$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.22 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 2c | 794.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atalanta BC | 25c | 708.53$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.36 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atalanta BC | 19c | 568.53$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.88 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Atalanta BC | 14c | 500$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Atalanta BC | 9c | 427.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…dd01backed Atalanta BC | 11c | 299.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +183.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Atalanta BC | 10c | 298$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.2 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 30c | 248.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atalanta BC | 68c | 236.5$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Atalanta BC | 10c | 229.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Atalanta BC | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +60%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Atalanta BC | 8c | 200$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Atalanta BC | 9c | 180$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 31c | 157.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 66c | 151.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Atalanta BC | 9c | 150$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Atalanta BC | 10c | 144.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.1 | 163 | 27%44 W · 119 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Atalanta BC | 17c | 143.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.84 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Atalanta BC | 9c | 131.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.27 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6339…141ebacked Atalanta BC | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f2…2cb0backed Atalanta BC | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +243.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Atalanta BC | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Atalanta BC | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 28c | 99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…6015backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 67c | 96.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…119dbacked Atalanta BC | 25c | 80.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +182.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Atalanta BC | 69c | 63.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…e51bbacked Atalanta BC | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…bc3abacked Atalanta BC | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 77c | 52.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 72c | 44.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 245 | 45.3%111 W · 134 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 29c | 40.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 68c | 33.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked Atalanta BC | 72c | 26.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Atalanta BC | 60c | 23.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)this page
- Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.