Champions League · resolved market
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5414a01f3e60e7c1978b5407ea2380657feae8d4dc68c8b3697b0f68054292d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atalanta BCof BV Borussia 09 Dortmund, Atalanta BC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 14c | 26,351$3,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,689.16 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 15c | 2,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +6.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 14c | 1,504$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.54 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 14c | 999$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…bccdbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 2c | 686$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb4…5494backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0652…9134backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 14c | 187$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 14c | 157.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…da0dbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 14c | 133.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)this page
- Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.