Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x168dcffaeeb69e56e2ed4c2faaec2d854a01f70d3a42e8b800b7f64100bf83e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atalanta BCof Atalanta BC, BV Borussia 09 Dortmund
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36c1…deecbacked Atalanta BC | 24c | 1,551$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Atalanta BC | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 76c | 1,234$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.12 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 76c | 1,233$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.91 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 18c | 1,221$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.71 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Atalanta BC | 23c | 1,086$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.91 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Atalanta BC | 76c | 1,016$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.38 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Atalanta BC | 39c | 888$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.68 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 76c | 584.75$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.41 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Atalanta BC | 24c | 507.79$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.92 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 72c | 423.87$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.06 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 18c | 394$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Atalanta BC | 23c | 326.09$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.09 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 20c | 299.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 76c | 259.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.44 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 78c | 256.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked Atalanta BC | 70c | 233.67$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…97f5backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 78c | 230.77$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Atalanta BC | 23c | 220$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.4 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Atalanta BC | 63c | 200.23$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Atalanta BC | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Atalanta BC | 24c | 200$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +60%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Atalanta BC | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…119dbacked Atalanta BC | 41c | 192.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.98 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +182.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x462a…45f0backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 22c | 182.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…ba8ebacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 77c | 179.22$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -5.3wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Atalanta BC | 22c | 179.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.44 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 63c | 158.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 78c | 154.05$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Atalanta BC | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.83 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…8f48backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 31c | 139.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bb…5857backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 76c | 130.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…6c1abacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Atalanta BC | 49c | 127.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +13.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 24c | 122$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…f58dbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 77c | 122$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Atalanta BC | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…60a2backed Atalanta BC | 23c | 118.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Atalanta BC | 22c | 118.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.72 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff5…69aebacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 53c | 114.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Atalanta BC | 24c | 103.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0b…c3cbbacked Atalanta BC | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 74c | 84.09$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 76c | 62.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…2cc3backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 76c | 61.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atalanta BC | 75c | 60.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Atalanta BC | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed Atalanta BC | 24c | 58.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…ce69backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 78c | 50.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…7556backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Atalanta BC | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Atalanta BC | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 78c | 45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed Atalanta BC | 23c | 44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…f180backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 78c | 18.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72d3…31e6backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 62c | 16.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 76c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)this page
- Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.