TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,669
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,111

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,669 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x160b…4296backed Over18c12,103$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,966.7626445.8%121 W · 143 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under74c9,994$7,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,418.191,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under80c6,374$5,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,090.871,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under69c4,170$2,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,885.9216036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01ba…d35fbacked Over26c4,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9601323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over19c2,868$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,325.9312344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over28c2,833$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.759136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under62c2,618$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.8141238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Over45c2,122$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.225145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fc…f4b0backed Over13c1,900$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.94922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28af…3875backed Over4c1,891$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.89425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+497.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under8c1,840$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.99246.7%43 W · 49 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over25c1,750$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.6814431.9%46 W · 98 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Over68c1,301$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.843857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over19c1,248$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.625335.8%19 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Over70c1,041$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.241060%6 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Under71c1,012$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.924555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed Under75c1,000$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8003713.5%5 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over18c1,000$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82024327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under70c998.19$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.5846048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over40c994.72$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.832646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over14c880$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.82040%8 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17ff…d7afbacked Over9c879.02$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.02683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.39per pick44cpaid+221%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under56c856$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.81241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over18c847.73$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.2226047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under76c762.62$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.593046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over42c707.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.781822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over44c684.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.991172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under79c671.59$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.563050%15 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8db9…c73bbacked Over26c649.14$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.36850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Over80c636.44$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.894454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under74c600$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4444746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Over22c587.63$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.921855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3303161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004573.3%33 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over18c500$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4107133.8%24 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Under34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1708840.9%36 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ccd…1ec9backed Over15c499.97$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.98850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+74.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over25c499.95$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.978650%43 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Over14c459.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.599341.9%39 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.557245.8%33 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over44c453.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.294729.8%14 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over18c413.5$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.8999435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked Over75c400.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.321764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over19c400$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick21cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over19c394.74$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.7410339.8%41 W · 62 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over19c394.74$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.745339.6%21 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x62c3…229cbacked Under65c394.67$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6366…8c41backed Under80c388.11$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.491346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd859…38c5backed Over18c320$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.42025%5 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over19c300$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2437068.6%48 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Over18c290$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.81844.4%8 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick27cpaid+84.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4913…d01bbacked Under73c282.03$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.762860.7%17 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01cc…7715backed Over45c277.78$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.78475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under73c273.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010249%50 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Over77c271.63$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.632536%9 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.1615236.8%56 W · 96 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under72c257.89$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.967238.9%28 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003641.7%15 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick26cpaid+78.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under74c225.83$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.854568.9%31 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2213349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6741…e0f9backed Over41c217.07$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.07785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+73.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over19c210$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.129350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6339…141ebacked Over47c210$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.31942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over16c200.73$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.6114645.2%66 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544276.2%32 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7982…86c4backed Over72c200$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+44.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c30…0ac6backed Over41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1181353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over43c199.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.517251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over21c194.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.83240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over26c188.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.463145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Over16c187.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.53636.1%13 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Over8c173.77$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.773650%18 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+61.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x103c…232bbacked Over38c172.23$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.868100%8 W · 0 L+3.7wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+101.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Over35c171$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.158241.5%34 W · 48 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45e6…d6cabacked Under66c166.2$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.293444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over17c159.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.4843427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Over73c151.87$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd121…b0a5backed Over33c151.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.821266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+106%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over48c149.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7815657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x380e…5f39backed Under70c149.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d98…84cabacked Under79c147.85$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.641315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-69.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4dd8…5335backed Under74c147.19$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.922040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under42c145$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4611952.1%62 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Over38c134.21$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.213748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Over66c133.02$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.593060%18 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+38.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over44c125$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under58c117.89$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.383357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over43c115.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5810760.7%65 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over21c113.94$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.946262.9%39 W · 23 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+39%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Over34c112.69$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.891735.3%6 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick21cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Over36c111.46$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.465056%28 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over19c110.53$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5321043.8%92 W · 118 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed0d…5ad2backed Under61c107.37$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.264957.1%28 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2610049%49 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2620639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over36c102.78$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.783050%15 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+48.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.