Champions League · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfac5c52468c7d4ad1667f7fd4fb559bebe818c7935342c3bd91094202bae7496
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 15c | 31,473$4,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,583.16 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 18c | 5,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.98 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 18c | 4,156$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.99 | 600 | 41.8%251 W · 349 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 15c | 2,979$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.07 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 14c | 2,426$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.34 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 9c | 1,737$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.06 | 1,071 | 34.8%373 W · 698 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Under | 11c | 1,700$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Under | 16c | 1,669$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 19c | 1,517$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.27 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 19c | 758.48$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.34 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 18c | 652.94$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.53 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 4c | 354.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 20c | 225.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 19c | 222.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 20c | 212.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Over | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked Under | 20c | 198$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 79c | 190$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 21c | 190$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 14c | 166.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 435 | 37.9%165 W · 270 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…7c97backed Under | 11c | 149.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…5ad2backed Under | 22c | 137.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a60…4ddfbacked Over | 80c | 119.11$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb287…18c0backed Over | 80c | 118.79$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…3af6backed Under | 13c | 112.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa616…203ebacked Under | 22c | 100.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +11.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…359bbacked Under | 12c | 84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 80c | 72.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…86ddbacked Under | 21c | 70.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Under | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29c…dc2abacked Under | 21c | 62.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab4…3d2dbacked Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…548ebacked Over | 79c | 30.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9116…a674backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f88…293bbacked Over | 80c | 21.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 71cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0567…82d1backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 78c | 19.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94a…0ff1backed Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…4fc5backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e73…27a3backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5this page
- Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.