TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9116…a674

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: UFC, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 56 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$36.79
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+100%+$200
LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.25
LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30.53
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.98
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+58.4%+$11.67
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+130.7%+$26.14
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$83.26
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO1)backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$115.24
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)backed Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+28.2%+$25.38
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO1)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$41.43
All 18 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+53.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick71cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.98
Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs. Winthrop Eaglesbacked Charleston Southern Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$132.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+76.9%+$53.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.