Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Diego Dedura-Palomero
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8871f90448964cf4b298afa70a9ff1c09ea3ec3a6758e9ef02dfd4d11b4a8683
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thiago Agustin Tiranteof Thiago Agustin Tirante, Diego Dedura-Palomero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,948 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 5c | 53,134$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.86 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 6c | 21,725$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.96 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 6c | 4,017$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 10c | 3,837$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.16 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…e1adbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 12c | 2,962$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.9 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 75c | 2,859$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.24 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 26c | 2,400$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.99 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 1c | 2,338$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 25c | 2,275$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.04 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 12c | 2,167$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 12c | 1,270$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.52 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 77c | 1,163$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.61 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…834cbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 74c | 1,162$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 20c | 928.37$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.78 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 21c | 857.14$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…04edbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 15c | 801.18$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 26c | 684$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.84 | 280 | 38.2%107 W · 173 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc8…7f4bbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 8c | 664$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 8c | 529.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9116…a674backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 77c | 507.77$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 8c | 487.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 6c | 475.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 9c | 386$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 75c | 358.67$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 75c | 266.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 8c | 246.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 26c | 218.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 25c | 171.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…bd29backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 24c | 132.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 8c | 128$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 16c | 112.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 73c | 111$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 21c | 88.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 28c | 82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…98d6backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 388 | 66.2%257 W · 131 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 26c | 76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 27c | 56.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…06d8backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 73c | 54.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 172 | 62.8%108 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…9373backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 129 | 74.4%96 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 72c | 28.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3780backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 75c | 27.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 151 | 63.6%96 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…b193backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 258 | 62.4%161 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 77c | 25.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante | 72c | 17.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…7762backed Thiago Agustin Tirante | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Diego Dedura-Palomerothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Tirante vs Dedura-PalomeroTirante won
- Set Handicap: Tirante (-1.5) vs Dedura-Palomero (+1.5)Tirante won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.